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2018-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 56.4% 43.6% -
Margin 58.2% 41.8% -1.8 (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% -
Log Adjusted 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils -4 (72-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Pritchard * 39 5-11 4-9 4-4 4 6 0 0 1 18 16 -
M. McIntosh * 35 6-13 0-3 0-0 13 3 0 0 2 12 13 -
E. Brown * 29 5-13 3-10 5-5 0 1 1 0 1 18 6 -
T. Brown Jr. * 24 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 2 2 1 1 2 7 -
K. Wooten * 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 4 6 -
P. White 19 2-5 0-1 1-1 3 0 2 0 0 5 5 -
V. Bailey Jr. 18 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 1 2 2 -
R. Sorkin 13 5-8 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 13 7 -
A. Kigab 6 0-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Smith 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
M.J. Cage 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Holder * 36 4-13 2-5 4-7 3 1 0 0 0 14 5 -
K. Justice * 35 6-12 4-8 5-6 4 3 1 0 2 21 15 -
S. Evans II * 34 4-9 4-8 7-8 3 3 0 0 4 19 12 -
M. Mitchell * 32 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 1 4 2 10 -
R. White * 22 2-3 0-0 4-7 6 1 1 0 0 8 13 -
D. Lake 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
R. Martin 15 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 -
K. Lawrence 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
V. Shibel 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter