Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Wright IV * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - |
| N. Wright * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| G. King * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Bey * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| D. Walton * | 19 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Siewert | 22 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Collier | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | - |
| L. Nikolic | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Schwartz | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Brown | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Holder * | 36 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| K. Justice * | 32 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| S. Evans II * | 31 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| R. White * | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| V. Shibel * | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Martin | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Lake | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Lawrence | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Salzman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Fogerty | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Witherill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter