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2018-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% -
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% -
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 65.4% 34.6% -
Efficiency 15.2% 84.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.1% 31.9% -
Log Adjusted 68.1% 31.9% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +12 (97-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Fogerty 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Salzman 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Witherill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Justice * 36 4-8 4-7 2-4 3 6 0 0 1 14 14 -
S. Evans II * 36 4-13 4-9 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 14 2 -
T. Holder * 32 6-14 2-7 0-1 3 1 1 0 0 14 5 -
R. White * 19 3-3 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 1 0 7 9 -
M. Mitchell * 19 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 2 0 4 8 -
R. Martin 26 6-12 3-6 5-7 1 4 0 0 0 20 13 -
D. Lake 18 5-6 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 12 13 -
K. Lawrence 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
V. Shibel 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Repine 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Wright IV * 37 8-14 2-3 2-2 8 11 1 0 2 20 24 -
G. King * 31 4-9 2-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 0 12 12 -
T. Bey * 25 5-11 0-0 4-4 10 1 0 1 0 14 15 -
L. Nikolic * 22 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 3 5 -
D. Walton * 17 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 -
D. Collier 20 3-4 3-4 8-10 1 2 0 0 1 17 15 -
L. Siewert 18 4-6 2-3 2-2 4 1 0 1 1 12 11 -
D. Schwartz 16 4-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 10 6 -
N. Wright 14 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 2 -

* = starter