🐻⬇️🏀

Air Force

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Air Force Falcons, Air Force
Program History
Coach: Joe Scott

2022 Team Stats (5 games)

63.2
PPG
67.1
Opp
-7.9
Margin
48.6%
FG%
37.0%
3P%
68.9%
FT%
26.4
RPG
11.8
APG
13.2
TO
68.0
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 819 (#737) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1001 (#324) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +17.8 (#257) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.095 (#113) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -11.9 More → 0.219 (#215) NetEff -11.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.8 More → 0.039 (#113) AdjNet -27.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.9 More → 0.038 (#113) AdjNet -27.9

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-11 @ South Dakota Coyotes L 53 - 59
2021-11-17 vs Texas Southern Tigers W 61 - 57
2021-11-20 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 72 - 53
2021-11-21 @ Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 73 - 65
2021-11-27 vs Idaho State Bengals W 59 - 48
2021-12-04 vs Army Black Knights W 76 - 58
2021-12-08 @ Montana Grizzlies L 48 - 66
2021-12-19 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 46 - 68
2021-12-21 @ Tarleton Texans L 45 - 67
2022-01-04 @ Colorado State Rams L 59 - 67
2022-01-15 vs Nevada Wolf Pack L 68 - 75
2022-01-18 @ Boise State Broncos L 56 - 62
2022-01-20 vs UNLV Rebels W 69 - 62
2022-01-22 vs Colorado State Rams L 53 - 73
2022-01-25 @ San José State Spartans W 63 - 53
2022-01-28 vs Wyoming Cowboys L 61 - 63
2022-02-01 @ Utah State Aggies L 46 - 73
2022-02-05 vs New Mexico Lobos L 77 - 91
2022-02-08 @ UNLV Rebels L 44 - 78
2022-02-12 @ San Diego State Aztecs L 64 - 76
2022-02-16 vs Boise State Broncos L 59 - 85
2022-02-19 @ Wyoming Cowboys L 67 - 75
2022-02-22 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 40 - 65
2022-02-26 @ New Mexico Lobos L 65 - 69
2022-03-01 vs San José State Spartans W 58 - 54
2022-03-09 @ Utah State Aggies L 56 - 83

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Horvath B. Horvath F 1 32.0 17.0 9.0 7.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 0.0 29.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A.J. Walker A.J. Walker G 18 33.6 14.4 2.8 1.4 1.1 0.1 1.7 3.8 14.3 17 1.4 2.7 41.2 36.8 81.2 1.0 172.6 46.3
J. Heidbreder J. Heidbreder G 12 36.2 11.9 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.0 1.1 3.3 13.3 34 3.1 4.0 55.0 42.1 84.6 0.95 156.4 65.0
Octave, Joe Octave, Joe G 9 24.0 11.2 4.0 0.8 1.3 0.1 0.7 3.7 13.1 - - - 54.5 50.0 66.7 - 131.9 59.1
A. Duhart A. Duhart F 1 23.0 11.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
T. Pulliam T. Pulliam G 1 30.0 9.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 16.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
C. Baker-Mazara C. Baker-Mazara - 1 15.0 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 -1 -0.1 -0.1 0 0 0 0.64 0 0
Ethan Taylor Ethan Taylor - 25 34.9 8.9 4.5 3.7 1.4 0.3 3.3 2.1 13.4 0 0.0 0.0 42.3 31.6 66.7 0.05 185.2 48.1
J. Allen-Tovar J. Allen-Tovar F 2 33.0 8.5 10.5 0.5 0.5 3.5 2.0 0.0 21.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Caldwell J. Caldwell G 1 35.0 6.0 2.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 10.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Jackson N. Jackson - 26 18.5 5.5 3.2 1.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 0.8 8.8 - - - 31.8 10.0 60.0 - 270.8 34.1
L. Moerman L. Moerman C 11 20.4 5.3 4.6 0.3 0.5 1.3 1.2 1.8 8.9 - - - 45.0 38.5 0.0 - 141.9 57.5
C. Vander Zwaag C. Vander Zwaag - 26 17.7 4.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 5.9 - - - 50.0 37.5 0.0 - 349.8 59.4
C. Murphy C. Murphy - 17 12.2 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 4.8 - - - 58.3 60.0 0 - 241.7 70.8
Jeffrey Mills Jeffrey Mills - 25 16.1 2.7 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.0 0.4 4.2 0 0.0 0.0 70.0 100.0 0.0 0.05 325.7 80.0
M. Townsel M. Townsel G 1 26.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
B. Thiele B. Thiele G 1 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Byron Brown Byron Brown - 3 3.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 24 6.0 15.4 100.0 0 100.0 0.45 104.2 100.0
J. Murphy J. Murphy G 4 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 26 2.2 9.4 0 0 0 0.8 0 0
K. Brown K. Brown G 4 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2 20 2.0 11.0 0 0 0 0.47 0 0
C. Simmons C. Simmons G 1 7.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 17 1.9 2.8 0 0 0 0.76 0 0
A. Kinrade A. Kinrade F 6 2.3 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0
J. Arroyo J. Arroyo F 1 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Coleman J. Coleman G 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -5 -0.6 -2.5 0 0 0 0.13 0 0
T. Wagstaff T. Wagstaff F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
N. Thelissen N. Thelissen F 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
A. Lewis A. Lewis F 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39 3.0 4.2 0 0 0 1.34 0 0
E. Mckenna E. Mckenna - 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 47 4.7 10.1 0 0 0 0.82 0 0
R. Corner R. Corner C 4 4.5 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0.0 - 0.0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG