Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +27 (83-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Octave * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Heidbreder * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| A.J. Walker * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | - |
| L. Moerman * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Mills | 22 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| N. Jackson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Murphy | 11 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Kinrade | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Brown | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Corner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bean | 27 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| R. Jones | 18 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Miller | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Bairstow * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Horvath * | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| RJ Eytle-Rock * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Ashworth | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Shulga | 17 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Z. Hamoda | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Zapala | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Odom | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Wagstaff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Thelissen | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Dorius | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter