Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.8% | 10.2% | -12.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -14 (77-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4431763 * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 42 | 50 | - |
| J. Mashburn Jr. * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| KJ Jenkins * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| B. Seck | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Forsling | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heidbreder * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 29 | - |
| A.J. Walker * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Allen-Tovar * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 23 | - |
| J. Octave * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Mills * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Moerman * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| N. Jackson | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 27 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| C. Murphy | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Arroyo | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter