Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heidbreder | 40 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| E. Taylor * | 40 | 7-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| C. Vander Zwaag * | 40 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| C. Murphy * | 36 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| N. Jackson * | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Corner | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Stevens * | 34 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - |
| D. Roddy * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 17 | - |
| A. Thistlewood * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Moore * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Tonje | 29 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Jacobs | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| J. Lake | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Moors | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| I. Rivera | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter