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Atlanta Dream

Also known as: Atlanta Dream
Program History

2008 Team Stats (33 games)

74.5
PPG
84.6
Opp
-10.1
Margin
39.8%
FG%
34.4%
3P%
74.3%
FT%
31.4
RPG
14.7
APG
15.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.0
Adj PPG
83.4
Adj Opp PPG
#14
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 793 (#13) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 704 (#14) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More โ†’ 853 (#13) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -9.6 (#14) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -7.4 (#13) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.187 (#14) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.7 More โ†’ 0.206 (#14) AdjNet -11.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -11.7 More โ†’ 0.206 (#14) AdjNet -11.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 83.4 More โ†’ 0.300 (#14) AdjO 74.0 | AdjD 83.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 81.8 More โ†’ 0.355 (#13) AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 81.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.257 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.266 (#14) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 34 More โ†’ 754 (#13) RD 160 | GP 34

2008 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-05-17 @ Connecticut Sun L 67 - 100
2008-05-23 vs Detroit Shock L 76 - 88
2008-05-25 vs Los Angeles Sparks L 56 - 74
2008-05-27 @ Washington Mystics L 74 - 80
2008-06-03 vs Minnesota Lynx L 81 - 85
2008-06-06 vs Chicago Sky L 72 - 86
2008-06-07 @ Chicago Sky L 70 - 91
2008-06-11 vs New York Liberty L 77 - 81
2008-06-13 vs Indiana Fever L 67 - 76
2008-06-16 @ Houston Comets L 79 - 88
2008-06-18 vs San Antonio Silver Stars L 66 - 81
2008-06-20 @ Washington Mystics L 61 - 72
2008-06-22 vs Detroit Shock L 76 - 97
2008-06-27 @ Connecticut Sun L 101 - 109
2008-06-29 @ Detroit Shock L 92 - 100
2008-07-01 vs Phoenix Mercury L 79 - 97
2008-07-03 vs Houston Comets L 65 - 72
2008-07-05 vs Chicago Sky W 91 - 84
2008-07-09 @ Minnesota Lynx W 73 - 67
2008-07-11 @ San Antonio Silver Stars L 74 - 82
2008-07-13 @ Chicago Sky L 66 - 79
2008-07-16 @ Indiana Fever W 81 - 77
2008-07-18 @ Sacramento Monarchs L 73 - 77
2008-07-19 @ Phoenix Mercury L 84 - 110
2008-07-22 vs Sacramento Monarchs L 66 - 79
2008-07-25 vs Washington Mystics L 75 - 81
2008-07-27 vs New York Liberty L 76 - 86
2008-08-29 vs Connecticut Sun L 72 - 98
2008-08-30 @ Indiana Fever L 72 - 87
2008-09-02 vs Seattle Storm L 69 - 83
2008-09-05 @ New York Liberty L 71 - 82
2008-09-08 vs Indiana Fever L 77 - 81
2008-09-11 @ Los Angeles Sparks W 83 - 72
2008-09-12 @ Seattle Storm L 72 - 77

2008 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
B. Lennox B. Lennox G 29 28.5 17.1 4.0 2.7 1.3 0.1 3.4 13.7 7.9 - - - - 43.0 37.7 86.0 - 55.2 49.9
I. Latta I. Latta G 29 28.1 11.9 2.1 3.4 1.3 0.0 2.0 10.1 6.7 - - - - 38.1 36.6 81.1 - 51.9 46.4
E. de Souza E. de Souza F 9 22.2 9.7 5.6 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.8 7.0 10.1 - - - - 57.1 0 62.5 - 59.1 57.1
I. Castro I. Castro G 24 21.7 8.8 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.2 2.0 9.4 2.7 - - - - 33.6 30.1 82.6 - 43.0 38.5
Ryan McDade Ryan McDade - 28 14.0 6.8 3.9 0.3 0.1 0.9 1.7 4.5 5.8 - - - - 51.6 0 74.7 - 58.8 51.6
T. Young T. Young F 29 21.9 6.8 4.3 1.3 1.0 0.3 1.8 7.4 4.6 - - - - 31.8 28.6 64.2 - 39.7 34.1
J. Lacy J. Lacy F 28 18.7 5.9 3.1 0.9 0.6 0.2 1.1 5.9 3.6 - - - - 38.2 16.7 67.3 - 43.6 39.1
S. Lovelace S. Lovelace NA 12 16.8 5.7 3.8 0.8 1.2 0.8 1.0 5.7 5.6 - - - - 38.2 44.4 80.0 - 47.0 44.1
Tim Wilson Tim Wilson - 17 13.5 5.2 3.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.9 4.2 4.5 - - - - 47.9 0 60.6 - 51.4 47.9
A. Bales A. Bales NA 15 21.7 4.9 6.1 0.6 0.7 1.7 0.6 4.5 8.9 - - - - 39.7 0.0 69.0 - 45.8 39.7
K. Mann K. Mann F 10 16.7 4.3 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.4 1.1 3.9 2.8 - - - - 43.6 50.0 100.0 - 52.2 48.7
C. Little C. Little F 11 15.7 3.8 2.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 1.2 3.5 3.9 - - - - 36.8 37.5 61.1 - 45.7 40.8
K. Haynie K. Haynie NA 28 14.2 3.1 1.7 2.5 1.1 0.1 1.5 2.8 4.1 - - - - 34.2 37.0 75.0 - 47.3 40.5
A. Strother A. Strother NA 15 8.6 2.6 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 2.1 2.1 - - - - 37.5 38.9 66.7 - 52.3 48.4
Slobodan Savovic Slobodan Savovic - 9 6.3 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.3 2.3 0.3 - - - - 19.0 11.1 66.7 - 24.6 21.4

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2008 Shot Zones

2261 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

McDade14% McDade21% Lennox51% Lennox35% Lennox29% Lennox21% Lennox33% Lennox40% Latta38% Lennox32%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Latta15% Latta17% Lennox25% Young24% Lennox28% Lennox62% Latta42% Lennox34% Latta36% Lennox31%
Misses: who misses most here

B. LennoxI. LattaT. YoungRyan McDade

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 322-615 52.4 644 Ryan McDade 14% (88 pts) J. Lacy 13% (86 pts) I. Latta 15% (44 misses) J. Lacy 12% (34 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 164-429 38.2 328 Ryan McDade 21% (68 pts) B. Lennox 18% (58 pts) I. Latta 17% (44 misses) B. Lennox 16% (43 misses)
Mid-range left 91-295 30.8 182 B. Lennox 51% (92 pts) J. Lacy 11% (20 pts) B. Lennox 25% (51 misses) T. Young 18% (37 misses)
Mid-range center 31-81 38.3 62 B. Lennox 35% (22 pts) T. Young 32% (20 pts) T. Young 24% (12 misses) B. Lennox 20% (10 misses)
Mid-range right 87-245 35.5 174 B. Lennox 29% (50 pts) I. Castro 23% (40 pts) B. Lennox 28% (44 misses) I. Castro 16% (25 misses)
Left corner 3 14-30 46.7 42 B. Lennox 21% (9 pts) I. Latta 21% (9 pts) B. Lennox 62% (10 misses) I. Latta 19% (3 misses)
Right corner 3 9-21 42.9 27 B. Lennox 33% (9 pts) I. Castro 22% (6 pts) I. Latta 42% (5 misses) S. Lovelace 17% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 left 72-230 31.3 216 B. Lennox 40% (87 pts) I. Latta 24% (51 pts) B. Lennox 34% (53 misses) I. Latta 24% (38 misses)
Above-break 3 center 32-93 34.4 96 I. Latta 38% (36 pts) I. Castro 22% (21 pts) I. Latta 36% (22 misses) I. Castro 13% (8 misses)
Above-break 3 right 78-222 35.1 234 B. Lennox 32% (75 pts) I. Latta 28% (66 pts) B. Lennox 31% (44 misses) I. Latta 22% (32 misses)