Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | -6.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -18 (79-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mazzante | 26 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 25 | 10-15 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 20 | - |
| T. Smith | 24 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 10 | - |
| L. Willingham | 23 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| A. Quigley | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| K. Miller | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Farris | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Derevjanik | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Sanders | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Y. Oga | 7 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Latta | 36 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| T. Young | 34 | 5-16 | 0-4 | 5-10 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| B. Lennox | 27 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 8 | - |
| J. Lacy | 23 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| K. Terry | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| I. Castro | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 20 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Mann | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Haynie | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter