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2008-06-29

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Dream Detroit Shock Spread Result
Elo 4.3% 95.7% -
Bradley-Terry 6.3% 93.7% -
Margin 4.5% 95.5% +16.8 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 14.2% 85.8% -

Actual: Detroit Shock +8 (100-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Dream

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Latta 37 6-15 3-7 3-5 4 5 2 0 0 18 14 -
B. Lennox 34 8-22 5-12 1-1 8 2 2 0 3 22 9 -
T. Young 27 7-10 3-3 9-10 2 3 1 0 3 26 19 -
K. Mann 24 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 2 5 -
I. Castro 21 4-8 2-4 4-7 2 2 0 0 1 14 9 -
S. Lovelace 18 3-7 1-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 3 8 4 -
K. Terry 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
J. Lacy 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Detroit Shock

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nolan 40 6-10 0-2 6-8 3 11 2 1 1 18 24 -
K. Smith 31 8-18 4-8 4-4 4 4 1 0 2 24 13 -
S. Sam 24 2-3 0-1 2-3 7 2 0 0 1 6 11 -
A. Hornbuckle 22 2-4 1-1 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 6 8 -
T. Humphrey 21 5-8 1-3 3-3 1 3 3 0 2 14 11 -
K. Braxton 21 11-18 0-0 4-8 9 2 1 0 4 26 16 -
S. Murphy 17 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 4 4 -
O. Sanni 15 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 -

* = starter