Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +26 (110-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Terry | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| I. Latta | 27 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| I. Castro | 23 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 10-11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| J. Lacy | 18 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| T. Young | 17 | 2-9 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| B. Lennox | 17 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Haynie | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Bales | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Strother | 11 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Nnamaka | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 23 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 22 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 21 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| K. Miller | 20 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 20 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Sanders | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | - |
| L. Willingham | 18 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Y. Oga | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Quigley | 15 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| B. Farris | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 6 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
* = starter