Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.1% | 94.9% | +16.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +8 (109-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Lennox | 39 | 17-32 | 5-12 | 5-6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 29 | - |
| K. Mann | 35 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| I. Latta | 34 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| T. Young | 27 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | - |
| I. Castro | 22 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| S. Lovelace | 21 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Lacy | 16 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -9 | - |
| K. Haynie | 13 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| K. Terry | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Whalen | 35 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 6-9 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| T. Whitmore | 33 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 17 | - |
| B. Turner | 32 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A. Jones | 31 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 27 | - |
| A. Holt | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| S. Gruda | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| J. Carey | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Gardin | 13 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| K. Swanier | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Raymond | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Anderson | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter