🐻⬇️🏀

West Tex. A&M

Also known as: West Tex. A&M
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1046 (#112) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1213 (#34) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 992 (#331) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +15.4 (#43) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +8.8 (#176) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.770 (#174) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +25.6 More → 0.929 (#180) NetEff +25.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +17.9 More → 0.887 (#150) AdjNet +17.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.9 More → 0.910 (#124) AdjNet +19.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 86.0 | AdjD 70.4 More → 0.805 (#116) AdjO 86.0 | AdjD 70.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 79.1 More → 0.623 (#125) AdjO 84.6 | AdjD 79.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.633 (#207) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.628 (#203) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 5 More → 961 (#262) RD 150 | GP 5

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-01-22 @ Eastern N.M. L 89 - 97
2026-01-29 vs UT Tyler L 85 - 91
2026-01-31 vs DBU L 84 - 86
2026-02-05 @ Cameron W 87 - 67
2026-02-07 @ Okla. Christian W 91 - 87

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Fontaine Williams - 4 33.6 24.2 2.8 1.8 1.8 0.2 2.0 13.0 15.8 92 4.2 32.9 50.0 57.9 91.9 0.95 71.0 60.6
Brock Mishak - 5 30.0 14.8 6.2 3.0 1.6 0.0 2.2 11.6 11.8 104 4.5 32.6 48.3 38.5 80.0 1.21 59.3 56.9
James Parlow Jr - 5 25.7 13.0 3.2 2.8 1.6 0.4 1.8 8.0 11.2 - - - 52.5 57.1 86.4 - 65.4 57.5
Camden Cowgill - 5 24.2 12.0 2.6 1.6 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.6 4.6 31 1.4 12.9 32.1 34.3 60.9 -1.17 47.5 43.4
Zach Brown - 5 27.9 10.4 5.4 0.6 0.6 0.0 2.0 7.8 7.2 6 0.3 2.6 46.2 39.3 62.5 -3.78 61.1 60.3
Kemper Jones - 5 16.1 7.4 3.6 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 5.2 6.2 -7 -0.3 -3.7 53.8 28.6 62.5 0.74 62.7 61.5
Jailyn Sledge - 5 24.8 6.0 5.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 1.6 4.2 7.8 76 3.5 27.5 42.9 37.5 64.3 2.37 55.2 50.0
Nicholas Jett - 5 7.5 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.8 2.4 -7 -0.4 -8.0 44.4 33.3 100.0 -0.4 55.7 50.0
Brendan Ballard - 4 9.3 2.0 1.8 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.5 38 1.7 31.2 57.1 0.0 0 0.96 57.1 57.1
TJ Brown - 4 10.9 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 2.0 -8 -0.4 -10.9 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.42 34.7 0.0
Dawson Heider - 2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -6 -0.5 -496.6 0 0 0 0.48 0 0
Jaden Holt - 1 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7 0.5 99.4 0 0 0 0.19 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG