UT Tyler
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 940 (#339) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1062 (#148) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1018 (#206) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +5.6 (#165) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +5.6 (#231) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.341 (#419) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.543 (#400) | AdjNet +1.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.548 (#398) | AdjNet +1.6 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.542 (#385) | AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 69.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.603 (#145) | AdjO 74.8 | AdjD 70.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.590 (#244) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.592 (#236) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1020 (#207) | RD 108 | GP 19 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-21 | @ | Regis (CO) | W | 72 - 65 |
| 2025-11-22 | @ | Colo. Sch. of Mines | W | 87 - 79 |
| 2025-11-24 | vs | Our Lady of the Lake | W | 119 - 67 |
| 2025-11-25 | vs | Our Lady of the Lake | W | 83 - 71 |
| 2025-12-04 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | L | 58 - 65 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Tex. A&M-Kingsville | L | 61 - 69 |
| 2025-12-13 | vs | St. Edward's | L | 55 - 70 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | P.R.-Rio Piedras | W | 93 - 61 |
| 2025-12-18 | @ | P.R.-Bayamon | W | 71 - 56 |
| 2026-01-02 | @ | Angelo St. | L | 50 - 76 |
| 2026-01-04 | @ | UT Permian Basin | W | 83 - 58 |
| 2026-01-08 | vs | Western N.M. | L | 74 - 76 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Sul Ross St. | W | 87 - 69 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | St. Edward's | L | 61 - 95 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | St. Mary's (TX) | W | 61 - 60 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Lubbock Christian | L | 66 - 70 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | West Tex. A&M | W | 91 - 85 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | Eastern N.M. | L | 70 - 80 |
| 2026-02-05 | @ | DBU | L | 79 - 90 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Emfinger | - | 16 | 21.9 | 12.3 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 2.7 | 7.9 | 8.9 | - | - | - | 57.9 | 37.2 | 74.5 | - | 67.2 | 64.3 |
| John Barbee | - | 19 | 20.5 | 10.6 | 4.2 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 8.7 | 7.4 | - | - | - | 44.8 | 27.1 | 69.8 | - | 53.4 | 49.7 |
| Kyle Morgan | - | 19 | 24.6 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 8.8 | 6.4 | - | - | - | 40.7 | 39.6 | 83.3 | - | 54.1 | 51.5 |
| Sam Phipps | - | 19 | 25.7 | 9.5 | 7.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 6.1 | 13.8 | - | - | - | 64.7 | 50.0 | 43.9 | - | 62.1 | 65.1 |
| Xavier Williams | - | 19 | 26.2 | 8.2 | 3.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 7.4 | 6.5 | - | - | - | 43.6 | 31.2 | 74.4 | - | 49.6 | 45.4 |
| Hudson Anderson | - | 19 | 13.9 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 5.5 | - | - | - | 61.3 | 0 | 78.9 | - | 63.9 | 61.3 |
| Noah Suarjaya | - | 19 | 17.5 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 4.9 | 3.6 | - | - | - | 35.5 | 23.6 | 70.6 | - | 47.7 | 42.5 |
| Jacob Bell | - | 19 | 20.8 | 4.6 | 2.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 4.4 | 3.7 | -117 | -5.3 | -44.1 | 41.0 | 25.6 | 43.5 | 0.54 | 47.3 | 47.0 |
| Gregory Fowlds | - | 15 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 55.3 | 50.0 | 44.4 | - | 58.4 | 59.2 |
| Christopher Carpenter | - | 15 | 7.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 1.1 | - | - | - | 44.1 | 38.5 | 100.0 | - | 53.0 | 51.5 |
| Boston Caldwell | - | 14 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 39.3 | 40.9 | 50.0 | - | 55.4 | 55.4 |
| Spencer Gaze | - | 17 | 7.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 30.8 | 9.1 | 50.0 | - | 36.1 | 33.3 |
| Heath Tenner | - | 11 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.3 | - | - | - | 77.8 | 100.0 | 33.3 | - | 73.0 | 83.3 |
| Mate Kapanadze | - | 16 | 6.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | - | - | - | 42.1 | 35.7 | 50.0 | - | 55.3 | 55.3 |
| Patrick Carr | - | 9 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 1.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 21.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG