Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1236 (#1) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1242 (#19) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1177 (#22) | HCA +95 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +25.5 (#4) | HCA +2.8 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +19.4 (#63) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.883 (#131) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.999 (#25) | NetEff +62.1 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.968 (#56) | AdjNet +29.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.964 (#64) | AdjNet +28.2 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.880 (#61) | AdjO 92.1 | AdjD 70.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.807 (#16) | AdjO 83.1 | AdjD 67.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.880 (#20) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.873 (#18) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1259 (#24) | RD 98 | GP 24 |
2026 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-01 | @ | Michigan Tech | L | 70 - 75 |
| 2025-11-02 | @ | Washburn | L | 77 - 89 |
| 2025-11-14 | vs | Colorado Mesa | L | 77 - 78 |
| 2025-11-15 | vs | Colo. Christian | W | 90 - 51 |
| 2025-11-20 | @ | Arkansas Tech | W | 80 - 67 |
| 2025-11-22 | vs | St. Edward's | L | 70 - 73 |
| 2025-11-28 | vs | Adams St. | W | 113 - 60 |
| 2025-11-29 | vs | Southern Ark. | W | 99 - 85 |
| 2025-12-06 | @ | Tex. A&M Int'l | W | 72 - 59 |
| 2025-12-11 | vs | St. Mary's (TX) | W | 73 - 67 |
| 2025-12-16 | @ | Rogers St. | W | 79 - 69 |
| 2025-12-17 | vs | Mo.-St. Louis | W | 81 - 77 |
| 2026-01-10 | vs | Western N.M. | W | 74 - 62 |
| 2026-01-15 | @ | St. Mary's (TX) | L | 64 - 66 |
| 2026-01-17 | @ | St. Edward's | W | 75 - 68 |
| 2026-01-22 | vs | Midwestern St. | W | 84 - 60 |
| 2026-01-24 | vs | Lubbock Christian | W | 80 - 75 |
| 2026-01-29 | @ | Eastern N.M. | L | 73 - 76 |
| 2026-01-31 | @ | West Tex. A&M | W | 86 - 84 |
| 2026-02-05 | vs | UT Tyler | W | 90 - 79 |
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Jones | - | 11 | 15.7 | 10.9 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 7.6 | 7.9 | 60 | 6.0 | 50.4 | 51.2 | 100.0 | 46.5 | 0.28 | 52.1 | 51.8 |
| Drew Calderon | - | 20 | 24.2 | 10.8 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 7.8 | 6.3 | 31 | 1.3 | 7.5 | 40.1 | 40.0 | 75.5 | -3.42 | 59.9 | 56.1 |
| TJ Thomas | - | 20 | 20.1 | 10.3 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 7.5 | 6.2 | 78 | 3.4 | 22.9 | 44.3 | 36.5 | 69.4 | 1.3 | 58.4 | 54.7 |
| Trevor Frank | - | 20 | 21.4 | 9.7 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 9.0 | 5.2 | 86 | 3.7 | 23.5 | 36.1 | 26.4 | 75.6 | 1.74 | 48.7 | 45.0 |
| Xavion Brown | - | 20 | 24.7 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 2.6 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 6.9 | 13.8 | 80 | 3.5 | 18.0 | 59.4 | 25.0 | 33.8 | 0.23 | 56.0 | 59.8 |
| Jackson McCabe | - | 20 | 16.1 | 6.3 | 4.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 5.0 | 6.3 | 42 | 1.8 | 15.8 | 61.6 | 0.0 | 22.7 | 2.06 | 58.4 | 61.6 |
| Cody Stevens | - | 20 | 21.9 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 189 | 8.2 | 51.5 | 40.7 | 34.3 | 83.3 | 4.78 | 59.4 | 53.3 |
| Justin Haire | - | 19 | 13.2 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 7.2 | 54 | 2.5 | 23.9 | 56.9 | 16.7 | 76.5 | 2.11 | 65.2 | 57.7 |
| AJ Borden | - | 20 | 18.4 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 4.3 | 6.2 | 70 | 3.0 | 20.4 | 40.7 | 14.3 | 53.4 | 2.47 | 47.0 | 41.9 |
| Jaden Shelvin | - | 20 | 21.3 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 4.8 | 5.0 | 5 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 39.6 | 29.7 | 56.5 | 1.72 | 47.1 | 45.3 |
| Daniel Figueira | - | 12 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.6 | 1.5 | -11 | -0.7 | -14.8 | 39.5 | 41.2 | 75.0 | -0.37 | 57.0 | 55.8 |
| Junior Goodlet | - | 9 | 10.8 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 44 | 3.7 | 43.3 | 40.0 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 1.0 | 42.8 | 41.4 |
| Braeden Pitts | - | 6 | 6.0 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 2.0 | -8 | -0.8 | -22.2 | 60.0 | 66.7 | 85.7 | -0.79 | 86.6 | 80.0 |
| Isaiah Dozier | - | 4 | 3.8 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | -4 | -0.6 | -19.1 | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.43 | 71.7 | 75.0 |
| Jerrin Canafax | - | 5 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 | -16 | -1.8 | -49.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.08 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG