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Wagner

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Wagner Seahawks
Program History
Coach: Dan Hurley

2012 Team Stats (2 games)

62.5
PPG
66.0
Opp
-3.5
Margin
41.1%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
78.1%
FT%
26.0
RPG
12.0
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.6
Adj PPG
63.3
Adj Opp PPG
#87
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1136 (#105) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1217 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1103 (#51) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → +6.0 (#92) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +2.9 (#122) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.820 (#28) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +7.6 More → 0.706 (#107) AdjNet +7.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +7.6 More → 0.706 (#107) AdjNet +7.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 63.3 More → 0.638 (#87) AdjO 69.6 | AdjD 63.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 65.0 More → 0.594 (#92) AdjO 69.2 | AdjD 65.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.684 (#78) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.676 (#80) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 27 More → 1187 (#53) RD 160 | GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 @ Princeton Tigers W 73 - 57
2011-11-14 @ UConn Huskies L 66 - 78
2011-11-16 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 87 - 83
2011-11-19 @ Lafayette Leopards W 76 - 70
2011-11-22 @ Pennsylvania Quakers W 71 - 65
2011-11-26 vs Delaware State Hornets W 85 - 62
2011-12-01 @ Long Island University Sharks L 73 - 78
2011-12-03 vs St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 90 - 50
2011-12-06 vs Hofstra Pride W 58 - 43
2011-12-10 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 69 - 70
2011-12-23 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 59 - 54
2011-12-29 @ Air Force Falcons W 72 - 61
2011-12-30 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 64 - 62
2012-01-05 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 88 - 64
2012-01-07 @ Monmouth Hawks W 89 - 79
2012-01-14 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 67 - 58
2012-01-19 @ St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers W 73 - 61
2012-01-26 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers W 73 - 54
2012-01-28 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats W 51 - 50
2012-02-04 vs St. Francis (PA) Red Flash W 72 - 54
2012-02-08 @ Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 59 - 44
2012-02-16 vs Monmouth Hawks W 74 - 67
2012-02-18 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights W 90 - 70
2012-02-23 @ Bryant Bulldogs W 86 - 73
2012-02-25 @ Central Connecticut Blue Devils L 61 - 78
2012-03-01 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 87 - 77
2012-03-04 vs Robert Morris Colonials L 64 - 71

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jonathon Williams Jonathon Williams F 25 25.4 14.1 5.5 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.8 3.2 16.6 91 25 3.6 6.7 50.6 40.9 73.1 -1.0 173.2 56.3
Latif Rivers Latif Rivers G 26 30.3 13.8 2.4 2.3 0.6 0.4 2.2 4.5 13.0 112 26 4.3 6.4 37.1 33.9 89.8 -2.98 130.9 46.1
Tyler Murray Tyler Murray G 26 30.8 12.0 3.6 2.1 1.0 0.2 1.5 3.2 14.2 182 26 7.0 10.0 53.7 53.6 66.7 1.91 173.5 72.0
Kenneth Ortiz Kenneth Ortiz G 26 28.2 8.7 4.7 4.4 1.8 0.1 3.0 2.9 13.8 176 26 6.8 10.8 34.7 0.0 68.8 4.62 117.0 34.7
Chris Martin Chris Martin G 24 20.9 7.4 1.8 1.0 1.2 0.0 1.0 1.8 8.6 125 24 5.2 10.9 29.5 28.1 78.6 1.23 177.4 39.8
Naofall Folahan Naofall Folahan C 26 17.9 4.4 3.6 0.4 0.2 1.7 0.8 1.2 8.2 67 26 2.6 6.4 62.5 0 50.0 -1.55 146.0 62.5
Orlando Parker Orlando Parker F 26 13.7 4.2 3.2 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.7 1.1 6.7 49 26 1.9 6.4 60.7 0 50.0 -2.2 176.2 60.7
Josh Thompson Josh Thompson F 26 14.7 4.0 2.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 1.0 0.9 6.5 107 26 4.1 11.8 47.8 66.7 71.4 1.93 197.5 52.2
Marcus Burton Marcus Burton G 25 12.6 3.4 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.9 1.5 4.0 62 25 2.5 8.3 32.4 22.2 83.3 -1.81 106.0 37.8
Mario Moody Mario Moody F 19 9.7 3.2 3.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.8 6.5 98 20 4.9 18.6 46.7 0 76.9 3.64 147.2 46.7
Ryan Schrotenboer Ryan Schrotenboer F 9 3.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 9 9 1.0 16.1 0 0 0 -0.87 0 0
Hugo Naurais Hugo Naurais F 7 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 -8 8 -1.0 -21.1 0 0 0 -2.83 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG