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2012-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Central Connecticut Blue Devils Wagner Seahawks Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 โœ“ (3.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.1% 88.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% - โœ“

Actual: Wagner Seahawks +9 (67-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Connecticut Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robby Ptacek * 36 7-16 2-8 12-13 6 0 1 0 6 28 13 -
Kyle Vinales * 36 3-15 1-6 2-2 1 3 1 1 4 9 -4 -
Malcolm McMillan * 30 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 0 2 -
Ken Horton * 25 2-5 0-2 3-4 3 1 1 1 3 7 5 -
Terrell Allen * 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 0 2 6 -
David Simmons 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 0 4 6 -
Joe Efese 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 2 4 6 -
De'Angelo Speech 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 2 2 -
Adonis Burbage 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Latif Rivers * 36 2-8 2-5 3-4 2 4 1 3 4 9 7 -
Jonathon Williams * 36 7-13 2-3 2-4 6 1 1 0 5 18 8 -
Kenneth Ortiz * 30 3-5 0-1 2-7 7 4 2 0 3 8 13 -
Tyler Murray * 29 4-5 4-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 12 13 -
Naofall Folahan * 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 6 6 -
Orlando Parker 22 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 3 -
Chris Martin 13 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 3 2 -2 -
Marcus Burton 12 2-3 2-2 2-2 1 1 4 0 3 8 8 -
Mario Moody 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Josh Thompson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter