Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Central Eagles | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | +12.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.1% | 88.9% | +11.4 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks +4 (87-83). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Sutton * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 44 | - |
| Ray Willis * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Landon Clement * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Justin Leemow * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| David Best * | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Karamo Jawara | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Emanuel Chapman | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Ebuka Anyaorah | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Tramar Beaman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Latif Rivers * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Kenneth Ortiz * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 26 | - |
| Jonathon Williams * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 32 | - |
| Tyler Murray * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Naofall Folahan * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Chris Martin | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Orlando Parker | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Josh Thompson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcus Burton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Hugo Naurais | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter