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2012-01-19

Model Predictions

Model Wagner Seahawks St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers Spread Result
Elo 71.2% 28.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.4% 19.6% - โœ“
Margin 80.0% 20.0% -7.6 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 60.6% 39.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.1% 33.9% - โœ“

Actual: St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wagner Seahawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Murray 30 6-10 3-6 4-5 0 3 3 0 0 19 15 -
Latif Rivers 30 2-11 1-6 3-4 0 2 0 0 3 8 -4 -
Jonathon Williams 27 4-7 1-2 2-3 2 0 3 1 2 11 8 -
Kenneth Ortiz 26 3-8 0-1 5-6 2 5 4 0 2 11 12 -
Naofall Folahan 20 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
Chris Martin 17 1-3 1-2 4-5 1 2 2 0 1 7 8 -
Orlando Parker 17 4-4 0-0 2-4 6 0 1 0 0 10 13 -
Marcus Burton 15 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
Josh Thompson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Mario Moody 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

St. Francis Brooklyn Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mockford 34 1-9 1-7 4-4 3 1 0 0 4 7 -2 -
J. Cannon 33 5-6 0-0 1-1 9 0 1 0 0 11 15 -
S. Perunicic 31 5-9 3-5 3-4 3 1 1 0 4 16 8 -
A. Johnson 27 5-6 0-0 3-4 6 1 0 0 2 13 12 -
B. Jones 26 2-9 0-3 0-0 5 6 2 0 6 4 2 -
K. Douglas 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 0 1 -
J. Newton 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 0 -1 -
T. Nichols 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
M. Milk 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
P.J. Santavenere 6 2-4 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
L. Ulmer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Trivic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter