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VMI Keydets

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: VMI Keydets
Program History
Coach: Dan Earl

2022 Team Stats (31 games)

79.8
PPG
74.7
Opp
+5.1
Margin
46.1%
FG%
38.4%
3P%
79.2%
FT%
36.5
RPG
16.1
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.3
Adj PPG
75.6
Adj Opp PPG
#171
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 891 (#219) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1006 (#175) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More → 966 (#222) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -0.5 (#175) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → -1.9 (#198) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.485 (#183) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.440 (#191) AdjNet -2.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.1 More → 0.439 (#189) AdjNet -2.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 75.6 More → 0.493 (#171) AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 75.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 76.9 More → 0.475 (#202) AdjO 75.8 | AdjD 76.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.463 (#197) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.459 (#198) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 29 More → 991 (#179) RD 119 | GP 29

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Carlow Celtics W 111 - 55
2021-11-12 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 72 - 73
2021-11-16 vs Keystone Giants W 97 - 35
2021-11-20 @ Marist Red Foxes L 74 - 78
2021-11-24 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 54 - 59
2021-11-25 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 73 - 67
2021-11-26 @ LSU New Orleans Privateers L 71 - 79
2021-11-30 vs Clarks Summit Defenders W 88 - 40
2021-12-03 @ Portland Pilots W 90 - 82
2021-12-05 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 89 - 82
2021-12-11 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 64 - 61
2021-12-14 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 70 - 77
2021-12-22 @ Hampton Pirates - Preview
2021-12-29 @ Wofford Terriers W 80 - 73
2022-01-01 vs Furman Paladins W 76 - 67
2022-01-05 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 79 - 80
2022-01-08 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 56 - 72
2022-01-13 @ Mercer Bears L 91 - 97
2022-01-15 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 90 - 85
2022-01-20 vs Samford Bulldogs W 99 - 80
2022-01-22 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 74 - 78
2022-01-26 @ Furman Paladins L 64 - 79
2022-01-29 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 83 - 79
2022-02-02 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 76 - 65
2022-02-04 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 76 - 69
2022-02-10 vs Mercer Bears W 85 - 79
2022-02-12 vs The Citadel Bulldogs L 79 - 83
2022-02-17 @ Samford Bulldogs L 99 - 100
2022-02-19 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 80 - 75
2022-02-23 vs Wofford Terriers L 72 - 83
2022-02-26 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 73 - 82
2022-03-05 @ Wofford Terriers L 66 - 68
2022-03-20 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 78 - 93

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jake Stephens Jake Stephens - 29 33.2 19.7 9.2 3.3 0.6 2.0 2.4 12.1 20.2 126 28 4.5 5.4 55.3 49.0 80.3 4.0 69.3 65.5
Kamdyn Curfman Kamdyn Curfman - 31 35.4 15.6 3.1 2.4 0.8 0.0 1.1 12.6 8.3 109 30 3.6 4.1 42.3 39.3 80.0 2.22 58.7 56.9
Trey Bonham Trey Bonham - 28 27.5 13.9 4.4 4.0 1.3 0.1 2.1 9.6 12.0 28 27 1.0 1.5 48.3 35.6 83.2 -2.33 60.7 54.1
Honor Huff Honor Huff - 31 27.7 10.1 1.7 2.4 0.7 0.1 1.8 7.8 5.4 63 30 2.1 3.1 44.4 38.5 87.3 -1.01 59.2 55.2
Sean Conway Sean Conway - 31 26.3 7.5 5.6 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.6 7.2 7.4 -6 30 -0.2 -0.3 37.4 30.2 62.5 -4.05 48.9 47.5
Tanner Mans Tanner Mans G 31 22.7 5.6 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.8 4.3 5.9 99 30 3.3 5.9 43.9 38.6 86.4 -0.7 61.4 58.7
Cooper Sisco Cooper Sisco G 16 7.6 4.0 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 2.4 2.9 49 14 3.5 21.6 63.2 54.5 66.7 3.01 78.7 78.9
Connor Arnold Connor Arnold F 17 7.5 3.0 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.3 2.3 -1 17 -0.1 -0.3 46.2 33.3 85.7 -2.31 60.6 57.7
Brennan Watkins Brennan Watkins - 29 10.2 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.7 1.9 68 28 2.4 9.5 39.0 35.2 66.7 0.14 52.5 51.3
Louis Tang Louis Tang G 25 9.6 2.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.9 2.3 21 25 0.8 3.5 48.9 0 66.7 -2.64 52.8 48.9
Sam Wolfe Sam Wolfe - 8 4.2 1.9 1.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.5 9 8 1.1 17.9 58.3 0.0 100.0 -1.15 60.3 58.3
Lewis Rowe Lewis Rowe - 26 5.4 1.0 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.7 36 25 1.4 11.4 42.9 0.0 42.9 0.15 43.4 42.9
Dj Nussbaum Dj Nussbaum C 21 5.1 0.6 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.1 -35 18 -1.9 -16.1 45.5 0.0 50.0 -5.55 47.0 45.5
KC Etienne KC Etienne C 3 1.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.3 -0.7 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2021-2022 Shot Zones

59 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Huff24%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Curfman28%
Misses: who misses most here

Honor HuffKamdyn Curfman

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 34-59 57.6 68 Honor Huff 24% (16 pts) Kamdyn Curfman 21% (14 pts) Kamdyn Curfman 28% (7 misses) Trey Bonham 24% (6 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range left 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Mid-range right 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 left 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 center 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Above-break 3 right 0-0 - 0 - - - -