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VMI Keydets

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: VMI Keydets
Program History
Coach: Dan Earl

2022 Team Stats (2 games)

74.5
PPG
74.0
Opp
+6.8
Margin
40.9%
FG%
30.4%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
42.0
RPG
17.5
APG
9.0
TO
79.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 758 (#753) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 924 (#627) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 1002 (#187) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +10.5 (#390) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +12.1 (#169) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +9.4 More → 0.741 (#51) NetEff +9.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 73.9 More → 0.576 (#152) AdjO 77.3 | AdjD 73.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.737 (#166) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.701 (#167) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 27 More → 1074 (#165) RD 151 | GP 27

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Carlow University Celtics W 111 - 55
2021-11-12 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 72 - 73
2021-11-16 vs Keystone Giants W 97 - 35
2021-11-20 @ Marist Red Foxes L 74 - 78
2021-11-25 @ Central Arkansas Bears W 73 - 67
2021-11-26 @ New Orleans Privateers L 71 - 79
2021-11-30 vs Summit Defenders W 88 - 40
2021-12-03 @ Portland Pilots W 90 - 82
2021-12-05 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 89 - 82
2021-12-11 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 64 - 61
2021-12-14 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 70 - 77
2022-01-01 vs Furman Paladins W 76 - 67
2022-01-13 @ Mercer Bears L 91 - 97
2022-01-15 @ The Citadel Bulldogs W 90 - 85
2022-01-20 vs Samford Bulldogs W 99 - 80
2022-01-22 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 74 - 78
2022-01-26 @ Furman Paladins L 64 - 79
2022-01-29 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 83 - 79
2022-02-02 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 76 - 65
2022-02-04 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 76 - 69
2022-02-10 vs Mercer Bears W 85 - 79
2022-02-12 vs The Citadel Bulldogs L 79 - 83
2022-02-17 @ Samford Bulldogs L 99 - 100
2022-02-19 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 80 - 75
2022-02-23 vs Wofford Terriers L 72 - 83
2022-02-26 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 73 - 82
2022-03-05 @ Wofford Terriers L 66 - 68

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
D. St. Hilaire D. St. Hilaire G 1 33.0 22.0 5.0 1.0 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 28.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Stephens J. Stephens - 20 34.2 19.6 9.4 3.5 0.6 2.2 2.1 0.9 32.2 163 5.4 6.6 42.1 33.3 76.9 1.36 792.9 47.4
K. Curfman K. Curfman - 18 36.7 15.9 2.5 2.4 0.7 0.0 1.1 2.4 18.1 - - - 31.8 31.6 75.0 0.65 313.6 45.5
Trey Bonham Trey Bonham - 13 26.6 13.6 4.4 4.1 1.0 0.2 2.3 0.8 20.2 80 2.8 4.1 60.0 50.0 83.3 0.17 700.2 70.0
C. Garrison C. Garrison G 2 33.5 13.5 6.5 2.5 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 23.0 288 8.7 11.3 0 0 0 1.48 0 0
D. Buckingham D. Buckingham G 1 30.0 9.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 13.0 7 0.2 0.3 0 0 0 0.61 0 0
A. Hunter A. Hunter G 2 34.0 9.0 2.0 4.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 0.0 17.0 307 9.0 11.5 0 0 0 1.63 0 0
S. Conway S. Conway - 23 26.9 8.5 5.3 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.8 1.0 14.4 - - - 31.8 23.1 0 0.03 445.5 38.6
H. Huff H. Huff - 16 25.1 8.1 1.5 2.2 0.4 0.1 1.5 1.4 9.4 113 3.5 5.1 40.9 30.0 100.0 0.7 276.6 47.7
Z. Williams Z. Williams F 1 21.0 7.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 117 4.3 7.7 0 0 0 0.76 0 0
T. Mans T. Mans G 23 22.8 5.9 3.5 1.2 0.5 0.0 0.6 0.5 10.0 - - - 58.3 60.0 0 0.8 562.5 83.3
J. White J. White F 1 13.0 5.0 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 -44 -2.4 -12.9 0 0 0 0.06 0 0
G. Plantz G. Plantz - 1 16.0 5.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.58 0 0
K. Thrash K. Thrash F 1 15.0 4.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 9.0 -60 -2.6 -7.6 0 0 0 -0.37 0 0
R. Robinson R. Robinson F 1 23.0 4.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 12.0 -40 -5.7 -10.0 0 0 0 -0.27 0 0
B. Watkins B. Watkins - 25 10.3 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.7 0.2 4.8 69 2.3 8.6 50.0 0.0 33.3 0.61 742.5 50.0
A. Nettles A. Nettles G 1 7.0 3.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
R. Maitre R. Maitre G 2 15.5 3.0 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 1.5 0.0 4.5 -81 -2.7 -12.8 0 0 0 -1.11 0 0
L. Tang L. Tang G 19 10.6 2.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.3 4.4 17 0.7 2.7 66.7 0 0.0 0.03 403.7 66.7
S. Wolfe S. Wolfe - 6 5.2 2.5 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.2 3.8 7 0.8 7.2 0.0 0 0 -0.01 750.0 0.0
J. Tucker J. Tucker - 2 8.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.5 -24 -0.8 -2.4 0 0 0 -0.19 0 0
R. Economou R. Economou G 1 13.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 63 4.8 16.2 0 0 0 0.46 0 0
M. Silveira M. Silveira C 1 8.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 -1.0 - - - 0 0 0 1.02 0 0
D. McCrae D. McCrae - 1 23.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 -0.48 0 0
Cooper Sisco Cooper Sisco G 7 5.3 1.6 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 2.0 58 3.6 18.6 33.3 50.0 0 0.63 183.3 50.0
C. Arnold C. Arnold F 10 6.4 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.3 1 0.1 0.3 50.0 0.0 66.7 0.0 141.0 50.0
L. Rowe L. Rowe - 20 5.5 1.1 1.6 0.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 2.6 63 2.3 15.6 60.0 0.0 0.0 0.39 193.0 60.0
J. Greco J. Greco - 2 14.5 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 3.5 -14 -0.6 -1.9 0 0 0 -0.11 0 0
Dj Nussbaum Dj Nussbaum C 17 5.5 0.7 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 1.6 -42 -2.0 -12.0 50.0 0.0 0 -0.8 300.0 50.0
J. Pugh J. Pugh G 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -13 -1.1 -9.0 0 0 0 -0.21 0 0
T. Stricklen T. Stricklen G 1 4.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 16 0.8 3.6 0.0 0.0 0 -0.12 0.0 0.0
K. Hammonds K. Hammonds - 1 18.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Y. Harvey Y. Harvey G 1 8.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -1.0 -2 -0.1 -0.3 0 0 0 0.12 0 0
Player #4906858 Player #4906858 - 1 14.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Player #4906864 Player #4906864 - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Player #4906868 Player #4906868 - 1 3.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG