Model Predictions
| Model | The Citadel Bulldogs | VMI Keydets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.4% | 77.6% | +6.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: VMI Keydets -4 (79-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Roche * | 35 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Moffe * | 33 | 5-13 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| David Maynard * | 33 | 6-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Stephen Clark * | 31 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Hayden Brown * | 18 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Brady Spence | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Rudy Fitzgibbons | 21 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Brent Davis | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jerry Higgins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamdyn Curfman * | 39 | 5-15 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Jake Stephens * | 39 | 9-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Trey Bonham * | 36 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Honor Huff * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Sean Conway * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Tanner Mans | 25 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Brennan Watkins | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Louis Tang | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| DJ Nussbaum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cooper Sisco | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lewis Rowe | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter