Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamdyn Curfman * | 43 | 8-20 | 5-14 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Sean Conway * | 42 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Jake Stephens * | 41 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Tanner Mans * | 33 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Trey Bonham * | 20 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Honor Huff | 28 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Louis Tang | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brennan Watkins | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Lewis Rowe | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| DJ Nussbaum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Connor Arnold | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Wright * | 34 | 11-22 | 3-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 13 | - |
| Matthew Herasme * | 32 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Raheim Sullivan * | 31 | 4-15 | 1-8 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Jones * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | - |
| Samkelo Cele * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Braden Bell | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Noah Harris | 19 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Victor Enoh | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Saint-Furcy | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jao Ituka | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Javon Cooley | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter