Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.9% | 39.1% | -2.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -5 (85-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamdyn Curfman * | 39 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Jake Stephens * | 38 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 34 | - |
| Trey Bonham * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Honor Huff * | 21 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Sean Conway * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Tanner Mans | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Brennan Watkins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cooper Sisco | 9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Louis Tang | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| DJ Nussbaum | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Lewis Rowe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Clark * | 39 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Jason Roche * | 37 | 7-15 | 5-13 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Tyler Moffe * | 23 | 5-14 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Brent Davis * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Hayden Brown * | 18 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rudy Fitzgibbons | 29 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | - |
| David Maynard | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jerry Higgins | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter