🐻⬇️🏀

VCU

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: VCU Rams, VCU
Program History
Coach: Mike Rhoades

2022 Team Stats (30 games)

66.3
PPG
62.0
Opp
+4.3
Margin
45.8%
FG%
34.6%
3P%
69.5%
FT%
32.5
RPG
14.0
APG
15.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.8
Adj PPG
59.6
Adj Opp PPG
#62
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1226 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1217 (#40) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +78 elo More → 1103 (#53) HCA +78 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +9.8 (#61) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.1 More → +10.8 (#45) HCA +2.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.696 (#70) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.1 More → 0.851 (#60) AdjNet +15.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.9 More → 0.849 (#62) AdjNet +14.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 59.6 More → 0.698 (#62) AdjO 68.8 | AdjD 59.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.654 (#47) AdjO 71.3 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.768 (#46) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.761 (#45) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 32 More → 1235 (#33) RD 109 | GP 32

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 57 - 54
2021-11-13 vs Wagner Seahawks L 44 - 58
2021-11-17 @ Vanderbilt Commodores W 48 - 37
2021-11-20 vs Chattanooga Mocs L 54 - 56
2021-11-24 @ Syracuse Orange W 67 - 55
2021-11-25 vs Baylor Bears L 61 - 69
2021-11-26 @ UConn Huskies L 63 - 70
2021-12-04 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 65 - 61
2021-12-08 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 66 - 52
2021-12-11 @ Old Dominion Monarchs W 75 - 66
2021-12-15 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 66 - 46
2021-12-18 vs Penn State Nittany Lions - Preview
2021-12-21 vs New Hampshire Wildcats - Preview
2021-12-30 vs George Mason Patriots - Postponed
2022-01-02 vs Davidson Wildcats - Postponed
2022-01-05 @ Dayton Flyers W 53 - 52
2022-01-08 @ La Salle Explorers W 85 - 66
2022-01-11 vs George Washington Revolutionaries W 84 - 57
2022-01-14 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 53 - 73
2022-01-18 vs Davidson Wildcats L 61 - 63
2022-01-22 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 70 - 54
2022-01-26 @ Davidson Wildcats W 70 - 68
2022-01-29 @ Richmond Spiders W 64 - 62
2022-02-02 vs Dayton Flyers L 52 - 82
2022-02-05 vs Duquesne Dukes W 71 - 62
2022-02-08 vs Rhode Island Rams W 73 - 64
2022-02-12 @ George Mason Patriots W 85 - 70
2022-02-15 @ Fordham Rams W 66 - 61
2022-02-18 vs Richmond Spiders W 77 - 57
2022-02-23 vs George Mason Patriots W 72 - 66
2022-02-26 @ Massachusetts Minutemen W 77 - 62
2022-03-01 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies W 74 - 51
2022-03-05 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 65 - 69
2022-03-11 vs Richmond Spiders L 64 - 75
2022-03-15 vs Princeton Tigers W 90 - 79
2022-03-19 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 74 - 80

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Vince Williams Jr. Vince Williams Jr. - 30 32.5 14.1 6.0 3.0 1.6 1.1 2.9 9.2 13.6 165 26 6.3 7.9 46.9 38.4 81.0 3.53 65.7 58.3
Ace Baldwin Ace Baldwin G 24 33.5 11.4 3.5 5.5 2.5 0.2 3.2 9.1 10.8 169 21 8.0 9.9 41.3 40.0 73.4 4.9 55.5 47.7
KeShawn Curry KeShawn Curry G 32 30.2 11.0 3.1 1.5 1.4 0.3 2.1 8.0 7.2 112 28 4.0 5.4 50.0 27.7 74.7 0.58 58.9 52.5
Jayden Nunn Jayden Nunn G 31 29.1 8.6 2.5 1.8 1.5 0.3 1.6 6.8 6.2 133 27 4.9 6.9 39.3 34.5 75.0 1.73 54.6 46.2
Hason Ward Hason Ward - 29 20.3 6.5 4.8 0.8 0.9 1.5 1.4 5.1 7.9 13 25 0.5 1.0 54.1 0.0 64.3 -2.3 58.6 54.1
Marcus Tsohonis Marcus Tsohonis G 29 14.4 5.1 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.8 4.8 2.6 1 26 0.0 0.1 37.1 36.8 57.1 -1.81 49.6 47.1
Levi Stockard Levi Stockard F 30 15.7 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.7 0.4 1.2 4.2 3.5 61 26 2.3 6.3 48.0 0 58.1 1.69 49.8 48.0
Jalen Deloach Jalen Deloach F 31 13.5 4.1 3.7 0.5 0.2 0.9 1.0 3.1 5.4 45 27 1.7 5.1 58.3 0 29.0 -0.83 57.5 58.3
Mikeal Brown-Jones Mikeal Brown-Jones F 29 10.8 4.0 2.6 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 2.5 4.5 -7 25 -0.3 -1.0 56.2 25.0 63.4 -1.48 63.2 58.2
Nicholas Kern Nicholas Kern G 31 10.1 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.5 2.0 1.6 52 27 1.9 7.2 39.3 0.0 81.2 1.46 44.8 39.3
Josh Banks Josh Banks G 28 7.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.3 -27 24 -1.1 -5.7 32.1 21.2 80.0 -2.05 40.8 38.7
Jimmy Nichols Jimmy Nichols F 8 4.6 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.8 -22 8 -2.8 -23.8 33.3 100.0 42.9 -3.15 44.1 41.7
Arnold Henderson VI Arnold Henderson VI G 4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 - - - - 33.3 0.0 0 -0.98 33.3 33.3
B. Buchanan B. Buchanan F 2 8.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 17 12 1.4 6.4 0 0 0 -0.34 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2021-2022 Shot Zones

290 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Williams18% Stockard25% Tsohonis33% Williams44% Williams40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Kern21% Ward19% Ward33% Baldwin50% Nunn20% Banks50% Williams43% Williams41% Williams39%
Misses: who misses most here

Vince Williams Jr.Jayden NunnLevi StockardAce BaldwinMarcus TsohonisHason WardNicholas KernJosh Banks

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 66-109 60.6 132 Vince Williams Jr. 18% (24 pts) Levi Stockard 15% (20 pts) Nicholas Kern 21% (9 misses) Jalen Deloach 16% (7 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 24-67 35.8 48 Levi Stockard 25% (12 pts) Jayden Nunn 21% (10 pts) Hason Ward 19% (8 misses) Levi Stockard 16% (7 misses)
Mid-range left 9-15 60.0 18 Marcus Tsohonis 33% (6 pts) Ace Baldwin 22% (4 pts) Hason Ward 33% (2 misses) Nicholas Kern 33% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 9-11 81.8 18 Vince Williams Jr. 44% (8 pts) Jayden Nunn 22% (4 pts) Ace Baldwin 50% (1 misses) Vince Williams Jr. 50% (1 misses)
Mid-range right 15-25 60.0 30 Vince Williams Jr. 40% (12 pts) KeShawn Curry 20% (6 pts) Jayden Nunn 20% (2 misses) KeShawn Curry 20% (2 misses)
Left corner 3 0-0 - 0 - - - -
Right corner 3 0-2 0.0 0 - - Josh Banks 50% (1 misses) Vince Williams Jr. 50% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 left 0-21 0.0 0 - - Vince Williams Jr. 43% (9 misses) KeShawn Curry 24% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 center 0-17 0.0 0 - - Vince Williams Jr. 41% (7 misses) Jayden Nunn 29% (5 misses)
Above-break 3 right 0-23 0.0 0 - - Vince Williams Jr. 39% (9 misses) Jayden Nunn 22% (5 misses)