🐻⬇️🏀

New Hampshire Wildcats 15-13
@
2021-12-21
VCU Rams 22-10

Model Predictions

Model New Hampshir... VCU Rams Spread Projected
Elo
2021-22 season-end ratings
 5.9% (#250) 94.1% (#36) VCU Rams -18.9 62-81
Bradley-Terry
2021-22 season-end ratings
 13.0% (#225) 87.0% (#40) - -
Margin
2021-22 season-end ratings
 4.6% (#239) 95.4% (#61) VCU Rams -16.7 -
Pythagorean
2021-22 season-end ratings
 40.6% (#162) 59.4% (#70) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2021-22 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#233) 99.0% (#60) - -
Log Adjusted
2021-22 season-end ratings
 1.0% (#235) 99.0% (#62) - -
Points Off/Def
2021-22 season-end ratings
 18.9% (#237) 81.1% (#62) - -

2021-22 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.5 points per 100 Elo plus a 1.9-point home edge (2020-21 margin fit); projected score: 2020-21's average total of 142 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat New Hampshir... VCU Rams
Games 25 30
PPG 68.5 66.3
FG% 43.8% 45.8%
3PT% 36.4% 34.6%
FT% 67.8% 69.5%
RPG 35.7 32.5
APG 12.0 14.0
SPG 4.8 9.1
BPG 3.0 5.3
TOPG 9.0 15.3

Efficiency Ratings

Metric New Hampshir... VCU Rams
Adj. Off Eff 97.0 107.6
Adj. Def Eff 103.0 92.4
Adj. Net Eff -6.0 15.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

New Hampshire Wildcats Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Blondeau Tchoukuiegno 11.8 5.3 4.0 1.0 0.4 35.5
Jayden Martinez 14.9 5.5 1.5 0.5 0.4 34.8
Nick Guadarrama 12.7 5.2 2.7 1.0 0.6 34.4
Nick Johnson 8.6 4.3 1.3 0.8 0.6 28.4
Josh Hopkins 6.6 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.5 22.4

VCU Rams Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Ace Baldwin Jr. 11.4 3.5 5.5 2.5 0.2 33.5
Vince Williams Jr. 14.1 6.0 3.0 1.6 1.1 32.5
KeShawn Curry 11.0 3.1 1.5 1.4 0.3 30.2
Jayden Nunn 8.6 2.5 1.8 1.5 0.3 29.1
Hason Ward 6.5 4.8 0.8 0.9 1.5 20.3