Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton Tigers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | +7.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +11 (90-79). Ratings: 2021-22 season-end ratings.
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaelin Llewellyn * | 40 | 6-17 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | - |
| Drew Friberg * | 39 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tosan Evbuomwan * | 39 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-10 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Ethan Wright * | 37 | 8-20 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Langborg * | 33 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Matt Allocco | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Elijah Barnes | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Blake Peters | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Max Johns | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Charlie Bagin | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ace Baldwin Jr. * | 37 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Vince Williams * | 37 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 26 | - |
| Jayden Nunn * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| KeShawn Curry * | 34 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Hason Ward * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jalen DeLoach | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nick Kern Jr. | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mikeal Brown-Jones | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Tsohonis | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Levi Stockard III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter