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Utah State

Also known as: Utah State Aggies, Utah State
Program History

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

66.5
PPG
60.8
Opp
+5.8
Margin
47.0%
FG%
32.7%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
38.8
RPG
12.3
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.2
Adj PPG
62.3
Adj Opp PPG
#110
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1087 (#118) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1108 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1030 (#121) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +4.0 (#113) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +3.3 (#123) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.685 (#80) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.6 More โ†’ 0.681 (#110) AdjNet +6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.6 More โ†’ 0.682 (#111) AdjNet +6.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 62.3 More โ†’ 0.589 (#110) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 62.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 62.9 More โ†’ 0.570 (#105) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 62.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.609 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.605 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 30 More โ†’ 1080 (#113) RD 135 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Idaho State Bengals W 56 - 48
2012-11-15 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 58 - 67
2012-11-17 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 77 - 68
2012-11-24 vs Weber State Wildcats W 65 - 55
2012-11-28 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 80 - 78
2012-12-08 vs Western Oregon Wolves W 86 - 57
2012-12-15 @ Utah Valley Wolverines W 69 - 63
2012-12-20 vs Nicholls Colonels W 79 - 72
2012-12-21 vs UC Davis Aggies W 73 - 61
2012-12-22 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 70 - 58
2012-12-29 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 71 - 67
2012-12-31 @ Texas State Bobcats W 81 - 57
2013-01-03 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 75 - 66
2013-01-05 vs Idaho Vandals W 82 - 75
2013-01-11 vs San Josรฉ State Spartans W 66 - 60
2013-01-17 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 51 - 64
2013-01-19 @ Denver Pioneers L 57 - 68
2013-01-24 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 68 - 74
2013-01-26 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 48 - 51
2013-01-31 @ Idaho Vandals W 77 - 67
2013-02-02 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 68 - 46
2013-02-08 @ San Josรฉ State Spartans W 63 - 36
2013-02-14 vs Denver Pioneers L 60 - 63
2013-02-16 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 73 - 69
2013-02-19 @ BYU Cougars L 68 - 70
2013-02-23 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 80 - 71
2013-02-28 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 61 - 84
2013-03-02 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 46 - 61
2013-03-07 vs Texas State Bobcats W 77 - 61
2013-03-09 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 71 - 51
2013-03-14 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 78 - 83

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Preston Medlin Preston Medlin G 16 36.1 16.2 3.5 3.2 1.0 0.2 2.0 3.2 18.9 69 14 4.9 5.9 41.2 29.4 72.0 -0.79 209.7 46.1
Jarred Shaw Jarred Shaw F 31 29.3 14.2 8.4 0.8 0.3 1.0 2.1 2.4 20.2 115 27 4.3 6.4 55.4 0.0 87.5 2.71 260.2 55.4
Spencer Butterfield Spencer Butterfield G 29 29.3 12.2 6.6 2.7 0.7 0.3 1.6 1.6 19.4 131 25 5.2 7.9 46.7 38.1 100.0 4.05 375.0 55.6
Kyisean Reed Kyisean Reed F 16 30.4 12.1 6.5 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.1 19.9 60 14 4.3 6.1 61.8 0 62.5 -0.65 216.6 61.8
Danny Berger Danny Berger F 5 22.2 7.6 3.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 3.2 9.8 - - - - 50.0 25.0 83.3 -0.82 101.9 56.2
Marcel Davis Marcel Davis G 31 27.3 7.1 2.1 3.3 0.9 0.0 2.2 1.3 9.9 41 27 1.5 2.4 58.5 46.7 50.0 -4.37 238.8 67.1
TeNale Roland TeNale Roland G 31 21.7 6.1 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.1 1.5 1.5 8.4 28 27 1.0 2.2 35.6 26.7 57.1 -2.35 197.6 40.0
Ben Clifford Ben Clifford F 31 20.4 5.5 3.9 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 9.6 78 27 2.9 6.2 37.5 0.0 88.9 1.0 264.7 37.5
Marvin Jean Marvin Jean F 31 22.1 4.8 2.7 1.8 0.6 0.4 1.4 0.7 8.3 121 27 4.5 8.7 36.4 28.6 50.0 4.4 323.4 45.5
Jordan Stone Jordan Stone C 26 12.3 2.6 2.8 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 5.4 -14 23 -0.6 -2.3 27.3 0 33.3 -2.82 276.0 27.3
Matt Lopez Matt Lopez C 22 7.9 2.4 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.4 3.4 34 20 1.7 9.2 62.5 0 60.0 1.01 254.9 62.5
Quincy Bair Quincy Bair - 4 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Connor Garner Connor Garner G 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 -1.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.83 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG