Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | UT Arlington Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.2% | 50.8% | +0.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Arlington Mavericks +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Butterfield * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 27 | - |
| Jarred Shaw * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Marcel Davis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Ben Clifford * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Jean * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| TeNale Roland | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Stone | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matt Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Butler * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Jordan Reves * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Karol Gruszecki * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Cameron Catlett * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Shaquille White-Miller * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Edwards | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Greg Gainey | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamel Outler | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Drew Charles | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter