Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.7% | 22.3% | -6.8 | ✓ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -24 (57-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Medlin * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Spencer Butterfield * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 33 | - |
| Marcel Davis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Kyisean Reed * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Jarred Shaw * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Ben Clifford | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| TeNale Roland | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Marvin Jean | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Matt Lopez | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Stone | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Davis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 28 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 22 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Phil Hawkins | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Deonte' Jones | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Vonn Jones | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Corey Stern | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Basil Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ray Dorsey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Darius Richardson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Tanton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeffrey Nwankwo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter