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Utah State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Utah State Aggies, Utah State
Program History
Coach: Stew Morrill

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

66.5
PPG
60.8
Opp
+5.8
Margin
47.0%
FG%
32.7%
3P%
72.7%
FT%
38.8
RPG
12.3
APG
11.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.2
Adj PPG
62.3
Adj Opp PPG
#110
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1087 (#118) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1108 (#92) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More → 1030 (#121) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More → +4.0 (#113) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +3.3 (#123) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.685 (#80) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.681 (#110) AdjNet +6.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +6.6 More → 0.682 (#111) AdjNet +6.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 62.3 More → 0.589 (#110) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 62.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 62.9 More → 0.570 (#105) AdjO 66.1 | AdjD 62.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.609 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.605 (#108) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 135 | GP 30 More → 1080 (#113) RD 135 | GP 30

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 vs Idaho State Bengals W 56 - 48
2012-11-15 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 58 - 67
2012-11-17 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 77 - 68
2012-11-24 vs Weber State Wildcats W 65 - 55
2012-11-28 @ Santa Clara Broncos W 80 - 78
2012-12-08 vs Western Oregon Wolves W 86 - 57
2012-12-15 @ Utah Valley Wolverines W 69 - 63
2012-12-20 vs Nicholls Colonels W 79 - 72
2012-12-21 vs UC Davis Aggies W 73 - 61
2012-12-22 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 70 - 58
2012-12-29 @ UTSA Roadrunners W 71 - 67
2012-12-31 @ Texas State Bobcats W 81 - 57
2013-01-03 vs Seattle U Redhawks W 75 - 66
2013-01-05 vs Idaho Vandals W 82 - 75
2013-01-11 vs San José State Spartans W 66 - 60
2013-01-17 @ New Mexico State Aggies L 51 - 64
2013-01-19 @ Denver Pioneers L 57 - 68
2013-01-24 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 68 - 74
2013-01-26 vs Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 48 - 51
2013-01-31 @ Idaho Vandals W 77 - 67
2013-02-02 @ Seattle U Redhawks W 68 - 46
2013-02-08 @ San José State Spartans W 63 - 36
2013-02-14 vs Denver Pioneers L 60 - 63
2013-02-16 vs New Mexico State Aggies W 73 - 69
2013-02-19 @ BYU Cougars L 68 - 70
2013-02-23 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 80 - 71
2013-02-28 @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs L 61 - 84
2013-03-02 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 46 - 61
2013-03-07 vs Texas State Bobcats W 77 - 61
2013-03-09 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 71 - 51
2013-03-14 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 78 - 83

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Preston Medlin Preston Medlin G 16 36.1 16.2 3.5 3.2 1.0 0.2 2.0 3.2 18.9 69 14 4.9 5.9 41.2 29.4 72.0 -0.79 209.7 46.1
Jarred Shaw Jarred Shaw F 31 29.3 14.2 8.4 0.8 0.3 1.0 2.1 2.4 20.2 115 27 4.3 6.4 55.4 0.0 87.5 2.71 260.2 55.4
Spencer Butterfield Spencer Butterfield G 29 29.3 12.2 6.6 2.7 0.7 0.3 1.6 1.6 19.4 131 25 5.2 7.9 46.7 38.1 100.0 4.05 375.0 55.6
Kyisean Reed Kyisean Reed F 16 30.4 12.1 6.5 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.6 2.1 19.9 60 14 4.3 6.1 61.8 0 62.5 -0.65 216.6 61.8
Danny Berger Danny Berger F 5 22.2 7.6 3.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 3.2 9.8 - - - - 50.0 25.0 83.3 -0.82 101.9 56.2
Marcel Davis Marcel Davis G 31 27.3 7.1 2.1 3.3 0.9 0.0 2.2 1.3 9.9 41 27 1.5 2.4 58.5 46.7 50.0 -4.37 238.8 67.1
TeNale Roland TeNale Roland G 31 21.7 6.1 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.1 1.5 1.5 8.4 28 27 1.0 2.2 35.6 26.7 57.1 -2.35 197.6 40.0
Ben Clifford Ben Clifford F 31 20.4 5.5 3.9 1.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 9.6 78 27 2.9 6.2 37.5 0.0 88.9 1.0 264.7 37.5
Marvin Jean Marvin Jean F 31 22.1 4.8 2.7 1.8 0.6 0.4 1.4 0.7 8.3 121 27 4.5 8.7 36.4 28.6 50.0 4.4 323.4 45.5
Jordan Stone Jordan Stone C 26 12.3 2.6 2.8 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 5.4 -14 23 -0.6 -2.3 27.3 0 33.3 -2.82 276.0 27.3
Matt Lopez Matt Lopez C 22 7.9 2.4 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.4 3.4 34 20 1.7 9.2 62.5 0 60.0 1.01 254.9 62.5
Quincy Bair Quincy Bair - 4 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Connor Garner Connor Garner G 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 -1.3 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -0.83 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG