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UMass

Also known as: UMass Minutemen, UMass
Program History

2022 Team Stats (3 games)

85.7
PPG
77.5
Opp
-2.1
Margin
47.3%
FG%
36.6%
3P%
71.2%
FT%
33.3
RPG
12.7
APG
9.0
TO
83.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2021-2022
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1057 (#232) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1214 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +115 elo More → 982 (#487) HCA +115 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +25.0 (#144) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.4 More → +12.6 (#160) HCA +2.4
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +2.3 More → 0.556 (#108) NetEff +2.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 76.0 More → 0.499 (#237) AdjO 76.0 | AdjD 76.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.725 (#176) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.687 (#180) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 129 | GP 28 More → 1067 (#168) RD 129 | GP 28

2022 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2021-11-09 vs UMBC Retrievers W 77 - 60
2021-11-12 @ Yale Bulldogs L 71 - 91
2021-11-15 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 81 - 56
2021-11-19 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 93 - 90
2021-11-21 vs Ball State Cardinals L 86 - 89
2021-11-27 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 85 - 83
2021-12-04 vs Harvard Crimson W 87 - 77
2021-12-07 @ Northeastern Huskies L 76 - 82
2021-12-11 vs North Texas Mean Green L 57 - 66
2021-12-19 vs Fairfield Stags W 77 - 73
2022-01-11 @ Davidson Wildcats L 67 - 77
2022-01-15 vs Rhode Island Rams L 68 - 81
2022-01-20 vs Saint Louis Billikens W 91 - 85
2022-01-23 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 59 - 90
2022-01-26 @ La Salle Explorers W 77 - 71
2022-01-30 vs George Mason Patriots L 62 - 72
2022-02-05 @ Rhode Island Rams W 78 - 67
2022-02-09 vs George Washington Colonials L 68 - 77
2022-02-12 vs Saint Joseph's Hawks W 69 - 67
2022-02-16 @ St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 71 - 83
2022-02-19 vs La Salle Explorers W 80 - 74
2022-02-23 @ Dayton Flyers L 61 - 82
2022-02-26 vs VCU Rams L 62 - 77
2022-02-28 @ Fordham Rams L 73 - 85
2022-03-02 vs Fordham Rams W 81 - 73
2022-03-05 @ George Mason Patriots W 83 - 80
2022-03-10 @ George Washington Colonials W 99 - 88
2022-03-11 @ Dayton Flyers L 72 - 75

2022 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Fernandes, Noah Fernandes, Noah - 6 27.0 13.0 2.8 3.2 2.0 0.0 1.7 7.2 12.2 - - - 55.8 23.1 78.6 - 79.3 59.3
R. Kelly R. Kelly G 27 31.5 12.7 2.0 3.1 0.7 0.0 1.7 3.1 13.8 -28 -0.9 -1.2 45.8 39.5 79.2 0.64 183.3 54.8
T. Buttrick T. Buttrick F 27 28.3 10.6 6.4 1.1 0.9 0.6 1.7 2.4 15.6 -41 -1.3 -1.9 49.2 34.4 85.0 0.02 193.1 57.7
T.J. Weeks Jr. T.J. Weeks Jr. - 26 26.0 10.2 5.2 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.6 2.2 14.7 -64 -2.1 -3.4 42.1 34.4 83.3 -0.27 203.3 51.8
C.J. Kelly C.J. Kelly - 24 24.7 9.6 4.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 1.7 2.6 12.3 - - - 40.3 40.0 70.0 0.73 162.4 50.0
M. Steadman M. Steadman F 3 17.3 8.7 3.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.0 10.7 -98 -3.9 -9.1 66.7 0 0 -0.63 433.3 66.7
J. Garcia J. Garcia G 22 20.6 6.7 2.3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.6 1.5 9.3 -47 -1.9 -3.7 42.4 10.0 75.0 -0.2 193.3 43.9
G. Jones G. Jones F 26 21.2 6.2 4.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.7 1.4 9.5 -77 -1.2 -2.1 44.4 54.5 100.0 0.49 208.3 52.8
M. Linssen M. Linssen F 2 12.5 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.0 8.0 81 2.6 7.2 0 0 0 0.53 0 0
D. Walker D. Walker - 6 13.8 4.8 3.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 1.5 7.3 -51 -1.6 -2.4 44.4 50.0 0 0.77 161.1 66.7
Dyondre Dominguez Dyondre Dominguez F 4 17.8 3.2 3.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 1.0 1.5 5.2 -36 -1.6 -5.5 50.0 60.0 25.0 -0.56 83.8 75.0
C. McCrory C. McCrory G 2 11.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 3.5 - - - 0 0 0 -0.4 0 0
B. Courtney B. Courtney - 1 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
K. Mitchell K. Mitchell G 12 7.1 1.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.1 2.2 -25 -1.6 -7.7 0.0 0 0 -0.16 750.0 0.0
R. Marcus R. Marcus - 4 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
P. Santos P. Santos G 7 4.6 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 -6 -0.6 -6.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.02 83.3 0.0
D. Jones D. Jones G 1 10.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 176 5.3 6.6 0 0 0 1.3 0 0
E. Dike E. Dike G 1 6.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 14 0.7 1.8 0 0 0 0.13 0 0
J. Kelly J. Kelly - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
D. Swerlein D. Swerlein G 1 1.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG