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2021-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Ball State Cardinals UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% -
Margin 15.4% 84.6% +9.4 (12.4 off)
Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen -3 (86-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ball State Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Bumbalough 35 3-5 3-4 5-8 2 2 2 0 3 14 12 -
P. Sparks 27 2-7 0-0 4-5 8 1 0 0 1 8 9 -
T. Cochran * 28 7-8 1-1 7-9 8 4 2 0 7 22 21 -
D. Jacobs * 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 5 7 -
M. Thomas * 18 3-9 1-4 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 9 4 -
M. Pearson Jr. 26 4-9 1-1 3-3 4 2 1 1 2 12 9 -
J. Windham 19 3-7 2-3 5-5 2 0 0 0 0 13 8 -
J. Sellers 17 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
B. Jihad 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 4 -
J. Bryan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Dominguez 27 3-6 3-5 1-4 4 1 0 1 2 10 8 -
N. Fernandes 19 3-6 0-2 1-2 2 3 1 0 1 7 6 -
R. Kelly * 33 3-10 2-5 2-4 3 4 3 0 1 10 9 -
T. Buttrick * 30 6-11 1-4 6-7 6 1 0 0 3 19 12 -
C.J. Kelly * 27 7-16 4-7 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 19 6 -
T.J. Weeks Jr. 28 8-12 3-6 0-0 8 0 1 1 1 19 16 -
J. Garcia 13 0-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -3 -
D. Walker 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
G. Jones 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 5 -
K. Mitchell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter