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UL Monroe

Also known as: UL Monroe Warhawks
Program History

2018 Team Stats (2 games)

65.5
PPG
58.5
Opp
+7.0
Margin
39.7%
FG%
34.0%
3P%
76.5%
FT%
38.5
RPG
14.5
APG
11.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
66.2
Adj PPG
70.5
Adj Opp PPG
#234
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 947 (#207) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 934 (#222) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 991 (#188) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -4.8 (#234) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -4.1 (#230) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.379 (#242) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.6 More โ†’ 0.294 (#240) AdjNet -7.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.7 More โ†’ 0.290 (#239) AdjNet -7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 70.5 More โ†’ 0.402 (#234) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 70.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 68.0 More โ†’ 0.451 (#222) AdjO 65.9 | AdjD 68.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.398 (#224) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.408 (#224) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 115 | GP 29 More โ†’ 950 (#208) RD 115 | GP 29

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-10 @ TCU Horned Frogs L 73 - 83
2017-11-12 @ SMU Mustangs L 65 - 83
2017-11-16 vs SE Louisiana Lions W 86 - 75
2017-11-21 vs Northwestern State Demons L 61 - 76
2017-11-26 vs Rust Bearcats W 104 - 46
2017-11-28 vs Jackson State Tigers W 65 - 52
2017-12-02 @ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks L 65 - 68
2017-12-08 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks - Postponed
2017-12-09 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 56 - 75
2017-12-12 vs Grambling Tigers W 59 - 57
2017-12-18 vs Millsaps Majors W 97 - 44
2017-12-20 vs Centenary (LA) Gentlemen W 74 - 51
2017-12-29 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 64 - 75
2017-12-31 @ Little Rock Trojans L 62 - 71
2018-01-04 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 82 - 72
2018-01-06 vs App State Mountaineers L 73 - 79
2018-01-13 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 48 - 82
2018-01-18 @ Texas State Bobcats L 52 - 55
2018-01-20 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 55 - 71
2018-01-25 vs Troy Trojans W 76 - 71
2018-01-27 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 83 - 74
2018-02-03 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 59 - 80
2018-02-08 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 66 - 64
2018-02-10 @ Georgia State Panthers W 90 - 82
2018-02-15 vs UT Arlington Mavericks W 84 - 71
2018-02-17 vs Texas State Bobcats W 79 - 71
2018-02-22 @ South Alabama Jaguars W 66 - 62
2018-02-24 @ Troy Trojans L 67 - 73
2018-03-01 vs Little Rock Trojans W 48 - 44
2018-03-03 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves L 79 - 83
2018-03-07 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 76 - 54
2018-03-09 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 55 - 63
2018-03-15 @ Austin Peay Governors L 66 - 80

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Travis Munnings Travis Munnings F 30 34.2 16.3 7.4 2.3 1.3 0.2 1.7 1.5 24.3 24 25 1.0 1.2 48.9 47.6 50.0 3.01 485.3 60.0
Sam McDaniel Sam McDaniel G 30 33.4 15.1 5.8 2.1 0.9 0.3 2.2 1.9 20.1 -55 25 -2.2 -2.7 32.8 32.1 77.8 -3.47 364.8 40.5
Michael Ertel Michael Ertel G 30 30.3 11.9 3.1 2.3 0.7 0.0 1.2 1.4 15.4 37 25 1.5 2.0 30.2 15.8 71.4 2.49 386.3 33.7
Marvin Jean-Pierre Marvin Jean-Pierre G 30 29.8 11.0 5.3 2.3 1.3 0.3 1.7 1.6 16.8 -10 25 -0.4 -0.6 49.0 35.3 85.7 -1.09 317.8 55.1
Jordon Harris Jordon Harris G 30 26.5 7.3 2.2 3.3 1.0 0.0 1.9 1.1 11.0 -7 25 -0.3 -0.4 37.5 42.9 0 -0.76 343.8 51.6
Sam Alabakis Sam Alabakis C 30 20.1 3.1 3.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.2 0.3 5.1 -17 24 -0.7 -1.5 77.8 0 100.0 -1.64 492.6 77.8
Brandon Newman Brandon Newman G 26 10.3 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.3 4.3 -43 22 -2.0 -8.1 14.3 0.0 100.0 -3.87 291.1 14.3
K. Deng K. Deng F 16 10.9 1.9 2.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 4.4 14 13 1.1 4.9 20.0 0 0 0.96 300.0 20.0
Donovan Walker Donovan Walker G 13 7.6 1.7 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.8 0.4 1.7 -35 13 -2.7 -16.3 20.0 50.0 0 -4.91 220.0 30.0
Lance Richard Lance Richard G 11 4.5 1.4 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8 18 10 1.8 18.1 0.0 0.0 0 0.02 750.0 0.0
Roderick Taylor Roderick Taylor F 19 9.4 1.4 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.2 2.5 25 16 1.6 7.3 50.0 0 0 0.81 325.0 50.0
Calvin Anderson Calvin Anderson G 7 7.6 1.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 2.7 4 5 0.8 4.2 0.0 0.0 0 -1.29 250.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG