Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.2% | 94.8% | +16.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.5% | 98.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Ertel * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marvin Jean-Pierre * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Jordon Harris * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Travis Munnings * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Sam Alabakis * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sam McDaniel | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Roderick Taylor | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Donovan Walker | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Newman | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Deng | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Lance Richard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shake Milton * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 27 | - |
| Jarrey Foster * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 26 | - |
| Jimmy Whitt * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 18 | - |
| Ethan Chargois * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 32 | - |
| Ben Emelogu * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Elijah Landrum | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| William Douglas | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Everett Ray | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| James Pyle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Wilfong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter