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2018-03-15

Model Predictions

Model UL Monroe Warhawks Austin Peay Governors Spread Result
Elo 40.3% 59.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% - โœ“
Margin 27.8% 72.2% +5.3 โœ“ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.3% 68.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.6% 61.4% - โœ“

Actual: Austin Peay Governors +14 (80-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UL Monroe Warhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam McDaniel * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 9 13 -
Travis Munnings * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 4 20 29 -
Marvin Jean-Pierre * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 9 17 -
Michael Ertel * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 14 18 -
Sam Alabakis * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 6 6 -
Jordon Harris 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 4 4 4 -
Brandon Newman 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 3 6 -
Roderick Taylor 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
Lance Richard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Taylor * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 0 1 1 2 11 26 -
T. Ivory * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 0 0 2 4 11 -
A. Ugba * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 1 2 27 35 -
C. Porter-Bunton * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 11 20 -
D. Gumm * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 6 11 -
S. Harris 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 9 15 -
Z. Glotta 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 9 -
R. Henderson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
A. McCarthy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter