Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | UL Monroe Warhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | +8.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (16.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UL Monroe Warhawks +22 (76-54). Ratings: 2017-18 season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Cockfield * | 33 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 3 | - |
| Marquis Eaton * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Rashad Lindsey * | 30 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Tristin Walley * | 26 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tamas Bruce * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Salif Boudie | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| Grantham Gillard | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Connor Kern | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jake Scoggins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Munnings * | 34 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Sam McDaniel * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Marvin Jean-Pierre * | 31 | 10-13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Sam Alabakis * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Michael Ertel * | 24 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Jordon Harris | 23 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Newman | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Roderick Taylor Jr. | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Calvin Anderson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lance Richard | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Donovan Walker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kiir Deng | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter