๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

UCLA

Also known as: UCLA Bruins, UCLA
Program History

2013 Team Stats (9 games)

74.1
PPG
71.7
Opp
+2.4
Margin
44.3%
FG%
28.8%
3P%
72.5%
FT%
36.7
RPG
15.4
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
75.6
Adj PPG
65.2
Adj Opp PPG
#46
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1196 (#75) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1231 (#39) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +102 elo More โ†’ 1071 (#81) HCA +102 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +11.3 (#45) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +10.0 (#48) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.692 (#75) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +18.2 More โ†’ 0.891 (#42) AdjNet +18.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +18.4 More โ†’ 0.893 (#42) AdjNet +18.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 65.2 More โ†’ 0.720 (#46) AdjO 75.6 | AdjD 65.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 65.8 More โ†’ 0.604 (#74) AdjO 70.5 | AdjD 65.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.768 (#48) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.749 (#51) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 109 | GP 35 More โ†’ 1241 (#32) RD 109 | GP 35

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 86 - 59
2012-11-13 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 80 - 79
2012-11-15 vs James Madison Dukes W 100 - 70
2012-11-19 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 70 - 78
2012-11-20 @ Georgia Bulldogs W 60 - 56
2012-11-25 vs Cal Poly Mustangs L 68 - 70
2012-11-28 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 82 - 56
2012-12-01 vs San Diego State Aztecs L 69 - 78
2012-12-08 @ Texas Longhorns W 65 - 63
2012-12-15 vs Prairie View A&M Panthers W 95 - 53
2012-12-18 vs Long Beach State Beach W 89 - 70
2012-12-22 vs Fresno State Bulldogs W 91 - 78
2012-12-28 vs Missouri Tigers W 97 - 94
2013-01-03 vs California Golden Bears W 79 - 65
2013-01-05 vs Stanford Cardinal W 68 - 60
2013-01-10 @ Utah Utes W 57 - 53
2013-01-12 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 78 - 75
2013-01-17 vs Oregon State Beavers W 74 - 64
2013-01-19 vs Oregon Ducks L 67 - 76
2013-01-24 @ Arizona Wildcats W 84 - 73
2013-01-26 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 60 - 78
2013-01-30 vs USC Trojans L 71 - 75
2013-02-07 vs Washington Huskies W 59 - 57
2013-02-09 vs Washington State Cougars W 76 - 62
2013-02-14 @ California Golden Bears L 63 - 76
2013-02-16 @ Stanford Cardinal W 88 - 80
2013-02-24 @ USC Trojans W 75 - 59
2013-02-27 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 79 - 74
2013-03-02 vs Arizona Wildcats W 74 - 69
2013-03-06 @ Washington State Cougars L 61 - 73
2013-03-09 @ Washington Huskies W 61 - 54
2013-03-14 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 80 - 75
2013-03-15 vs Arizona Wildcats W 66 - 64
2013-03-16 vs Oregon Ducks L 69 - 78
2013-03-22 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 63 - 83

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Shabazz Muhammad Shabazz Muhammad G-F 32 30.8 17.9 5.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.6 4.9 18.3 118 31 3.8 5.4 41.0 36.4 69.6 1.27 158.3 46.2
Jordan Adams Jordan Adams G 33 30.3 15.3 3.8 1.8 2.2 0.4 1.2 3.7 18.5 160 32 5.0 7.4 43.1 28.0 90.9 1.56 166.1 48.8
Travis Wear Travis Wear F 32 28.9 10.9 5.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 3.9 13.1 143 31 4.6 7.0 54.0 28.6 81.8 1.31 129.0 54.8
Kyle Anderson Kyle Anderson G 35 29.9 9.7 8.6 3.5 1.8 0.9 2.1 2.9 19.5 152 34 4.5 6.5 39.6 10.0 65.0 3.53 142.5 40.1
L. Drew II L. Drew II G 35 35.5 7.5 2.4 7.3 1.4 0.2 2.5 2.5 13.9 160 34 4.7 5.9 34.1 27.3 65.0 1.39 135.8 37.5
David Wear David Wear F 34 23.4 7.1 5.0 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.9 2.8 10.2 72 33 2.2 4.1 52.1 35.3 64.7 1.1 116.9 55.2
Norman Powell Norman Powell G 35 22.1 6.1 2.2 1.1 0.7 0.5 1.1 2.3 7.2 17 34 0.5 1.0 48.1 38.9 76.9 -1.95 125.1 57.0
Joshua Smith Joshua Smith C 6 13.5 5.2 4.2 0.3 1.2 0.5 1.7 2.0 7.7 46 6 7.7 28.4 66.7 0 53.8 2.18 87.5 66.7
Tyler Lamb Tyler Lamb G 1 14.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 - - - - 50.0 100.0 50.0 2.2 69.4 75.0
Tony Parker Tony Parker F 33 6.3 2.4 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 2.9 -38 31 -1.2 -9.0 61.5 0 52.2 -4.55 110.7 61.5
Khalid McCaskill Khalid McCaskill - 2 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 100.0 0.0
David Brown David Brown G 5 2.6 0.6 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.4 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.87 0 0
Sooren Derboghosian Sooren Derboghosian C 4 1.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.86 0 0
Aubrey Williams Aubrey Williams G 4 1.8 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.55 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG