UCF - 2021 | Sports Data

2021 Team Stats (4 games)

72.3

PPG

66.5

Opp

-0.7

Margin

45.2%

FG%

31.5%

3P%

80.9%

FT%

35.8

RPG

10.3

APG

14.5

TO

77.3

Pace

Model Outputs

2020-2021

Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model	Output	Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More →	1448 (#38)	-
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More →	1390 (#55)	-
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More →	+32.6 (#69)	HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More →	0.380 (#56)	-
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.6 More →	0.729 (#30)	AdjNet +8.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.7 More →	0.732 (#30)	AdjNet +8.7

2021 Schedule & Results

Date	Vs/At	Opponent	Result	Score
2020-11-30	vs	Auburn Tigers	W	63 - 55
2020-12-15	@	Houston Cougars	-	Preview
2020-12-19	@	Florida State Seminoles	W	86 - 74
2020-12-26	vs	Houston Cougars	L	54 - 63
2021-01-17	@	Houston Cougars	L	58 - 75
2021-03-11	vs	East Carolina Pirates	W	72 - 62
2021-03-12	@	Memphis Tigers	L	62 - 70

2021 Roster

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Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player	Pos	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FGA	Numbers	PM	PM/G	PM/40	FG%	3P%	FT%	RAPM	TS%	eFG%
B. Mahan	G	6	30.3	14.7	4.8	1.2	0.8	0.3	2.0	8.7	11.2	-9	-0.4	-0.5	51.9	34.8	96.3	0.05	68.9	59.6
D. Perry	G	4	27.8	12.2	2.8	2.0	1.2	0.2	1.8	8.5	8.2	23	1.2	1.5	35.3	28.6	95.5	0.3	56.1	41.2
Da. Green Jr.	-	6	30.2	11.5	2.7	0.7	0.7	0.3	1.5	11.0	3.3	75	3.4	7.9	39.4	37.8	75.0	1.49	50.9	50.0
I. Adams	-	6	27.5	10.3	5.2	1.8	1.7	0.5	2.5	8.3	8.7	50	2.3	3.7	42.0	19.0	59.3	0.7	50.1	46.0
T. Johnson Jr.	G	1	15.0	8.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	2.0	4.0	5.0	103	4.9	7.5	50.0	50.0	100.0	1.18	82.0	75.0
Fuller Jr., Dre	-	6	32.3	7.5	7.0	3.2	1.3	0.3	3.5	6.2	9.7	-	-	-	37.8	10.0	64.0	-	46.9	39.2
J. Reynolds	F	4	13.0	7.0	2.8	0.5	0.5	0.8	1.5	4.8	5.2	17	0.8	2.7	52.6	0	66.7	0.23	57.7	52.6
Walker, C.J.	F	6	24.5	4.2	4.7	0.7	0.3	1.7	1.8	4.5	5.2	-	-	-	33.3	33.3	37.5	-	36.7	35.2
A. Diggs	C	4	5.8	3.0	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.2	1.8	2.2	-34	-2.1	-8.0	85.7	0	0.0	-0.29	80.6	85.7
S. Mobley	F	6	19.3	1.5	2.2	1.3	0.5	0.2	1.8	2.0	1.8	26	1.1	2.3	25.0	20.0	100.0	0.74	34.9	29.2
I. Doumbia	F	2	7.0	0.0	2.0	0.0	0.0	0.5	0.0	1.5	1.0	2	0.4	2.1	0.0	0.0	0	-0.06	0.0	0.0
L. Renaud	G	1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-	0	0	0	-	0	0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG