Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.0% | 13.0% | -10.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -9 (54-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Grimes | 34 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Jarreau | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| C. Mills | 25 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| B. Gresham | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Gorham | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Mark | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Sasser * | 34 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| R. Chaney | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Roberts | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Shead | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Da. Green Jr. * | 38 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - |
| B. Mahan * | 36 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Fuller Jr. * | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 10 | - |
| S. Mobley * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| I. Adams * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Perry | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
* = starter