Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 81.3% | 18.7% | -8.1 | ✗ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +8 (63-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 29 | 6-14 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| J. Powell | 23 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Akingbola | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Jones | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Franklin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Flanigan * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Williams * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge * | 17 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| JT Thor * | 17 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | - |
| D. Cardwell | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Moore | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Doumbia | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Diggs | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Fuller Jr. * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Da. Green Jr. * | 36 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | - |
| S. Mobley * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Mahan * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. Reynolds * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Walker | 31 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Johnson Jr. | 15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| I. Adams | 14 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
* = starter