Model Predictions
| Model | UCF Knights | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.4% | 94.6% | +15.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +17 (75-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Fuller Jr. * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Da. Green Jr. * | 32 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| B. Mahan * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Walker * | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Mobley * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| I. Adams | 31 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Reynolds | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gorham | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| D. Jarreau | 28 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Q. Grimes | 28 | 7-18 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | - |
| B. Gresham | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Mark | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Tyson | 7 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| M. Sasser * | 33 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Chaney | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Roberts | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Shead | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Powell | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter