๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

UC Davis

Also known as: UC Davis Aggies
Program History
Coach: Jim Les

2018 Team Stats (3 games)

61.0
PPG
65.0
Opp
-4.0
Margin
42.1%
FG%
38.3%
3P%
65.2%
FT%
30.0
RPG
10.0
APG
13.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
70.3
Adj PPG
68.5
Adj Opp PPG
#137
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2017-2018
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1080 (#123) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1108 (#99) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More โ†’ 1063 (#80) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +1.9 (#137) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +0.4 (#163) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.610 (#106) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.4 More โ†’ 0.570 (#139) AdjNet +2.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.4 More โ†’ 0.570 (#137) AdjNet +2.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 68.5 More โ†’ 0.542 (#137) AdjO 70.3 | AdjD 68.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 69.9 More โ†’ 0.525 (#141) AdjO 71.0 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.575 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.571 (#129) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 31 More โ†’ 1084 (#109) RD 118 | GP 31

2018 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2017-11-13 @ Northern Colorado Bears W 72 - 59
2017-11-15 @ Pacific Tigers W 62 - 58
2017-11-18 @ Utah Valley Wolverines L 71 - 80
2017-11-21 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 64 - 47
2017-11-26 @ Washington Huskies L 70 - 77
2017-11-29 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 56 - 51
2017-12-02 @ Washington State Cougars W 81 - 67
2017-12-06 vs Pacific Tigers W 71 - 67
2017-12-09 vs Jessup Warriors W 86 - 52
2017-12-15 @ San Francisco Dons L 61 - 74
2017-12-19 @ Nevada Wolf Pack L 73 - 88
2017-12-22 vs Lamar Cardinals W 77 - 68
2017-12-23 @ Radford Highlanders L 62 - 72
2017-12-30 vs Holy Names University Hawks W 89 - 62
2018-01-04 vs UC Irvine Anteaters W 64 - 53
2018-01-11 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 75 - 65
2018-01-13 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans L 70 - 85
2018-01-17 vs Long Beach State Beach W 84 - 75
2018-01-20 @ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors L 72 - 77
2018-01-25 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 63 - 56
2018-01-27 vs Cal Poly Mustangs W 80 - 56
2018-02-01 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors W 63 - 56
2018-02-03 @ Long Beach State Beach W 105 - 104
2018-02-08 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 81 - 90
2018-02-10 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 66 - 68
2018-02-15 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 92 - 84
2018-02-17 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 71 - 54
2018-02-24 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 64 - 63
2018-03-01 vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors W 70 - 59
2018-03-03 @ UC Irvine Anteaters W 90 - 84
2018-03-08 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 70 - 66
2018-03-09 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans L 52 - 55
2018-03-14 @ Utah Utes L 59 - 69

2018 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chima Moneke Chima Moneke F 18 30.1 18.0 9.3 1.1 0.9 1.0 2.7 0.6 27.1 -5 15 -0.3 -0.5 30.0 0 87.5 -1.23 1198.2 30.0
TJ Shorts TJ Shorts G 25 30.7 14.5 3.6 4.4 1.7 0.2 2.5 1.1 20.8 22 23 1.0 1.3 35.7 0.0 50.0 -0.01 531.3 35.7
Siler Schneider Siler Schneider G 25 30.1 14.2 3.1 2.2 1.0 0.2 2.2 1.2 17.3 30 23 1.3 1.8 40.0 28.6 73.3 1.2 485.0 43.3
A.J. John A.J. John F 25 19.4 7.5 3.8 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 10.7 25 23 1.1 2.3 57.9 41.7 100.0 -0.51 460.1 71.1
Joe Mooney Joe Mooney G 21 19.2 6.0 1.8 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.9 0.7 8.0 10 20 0.5 1.1 46.7 37.5 71.4 -0.2 345.7 56.7
Michael Onyebalu Michael Onyebalu G 24 26.8 5.5 3.6 1.2 0.9 0.0 1.5 0.5 9.2 7 22 0.3 0.5 46.2 42.9 85.7 -0.19 413.6 57.7
Garrison Goode Garrison Goode F 24 28.9 4.1 3.8 0.5 0.7 0.5 1.4 0.5 7.8 14 22 0.6 0.9 41.7 0 25.0 0.72 315.7 41.7
Arell Hennings Arell Hennings G 25 10.8 3.4 0.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.7 0.2 4.8 -2 23 -0.1 -0.3 50.0 75.0 50.0 -1.72 554.1 75.0
Rogers Printup Rogers Printup G 18 12.3 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.4 3.9 -2 17 -0.1 -0.4 28.6 28.6 0 0.14 371.4 42.9
Colin Russell Colin Russell F 19 9.3 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 2.6 15 20 0.8 3.5 33.3 0 0 -0.27 516.7 33.3
Delveion Jackson Delveion Jackson F 12 9.8 1.2 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.2 3.4 -4 12 -0.3 -1.5 50.0 0.0 0 -0.66 375.0 50.0
L. Strom L. Strom - 1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG