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2017-12-15

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 6.1% 93.9% +15.0 (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 51.9% 48.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% -
Log Adjusted 22.1% 77.9% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons +13 (74-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Schneider * 37 6-12 1-3 6-7 1 2 3 0 2 19 11 -
C. Moneke * 32 3-10 0-0 7-8 11 2 1 0 1 13 16 -
G. Goode * 29 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 1 1 5 5 -
T. Shorts II * 22 1-4 0-0 2-7 1 1 1 0 4 4 -1 -
M. Onyebalu * 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
A. Hennings 18 2-3 2-2 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
A.J. John 17 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 5 -
R. Printup 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
D. Jackson 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. Russell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Foster * 31 6-11 4-5 1-2 2 3 2 0 3 17 10 -
J. Ratinho * 30 4-8 3-6 1-2 4 2 0 0 2 12 8 -
M. McCarthy * 28 5-11 0-1 2-3 7 0 0 3 2 12 9 -
J. Bouyea * 20 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
R. Raitanen * 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
F. Ferrari 28 5-10 2-5 7-8 2 5 2 0 1 19 17 -
T. Jurkatamm 17 1-2 0-1 0-1 7 0 4 0 0 2 11 -
J. Lull 12 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 -
M. Djordjevic 11 2-3 1-2 0-2 0 3 0 0 2 5 3 -
N. Renfro 8 0-0 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 3 0 3 -

* = starter