Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +24 (80-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Fields * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Josh Martin * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Luke Meikle * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jakub Niziol * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Victor Joseph * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Trevor John | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Hank Hollingsworth | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Mark Crowe | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Marcellus Garrick | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Iziah James | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Aleks Abrams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Shorts * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Garrison Goode * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Chima Moneke * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Siler Schneider * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Michael Onyebalu * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Joe Mooney | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| A.J. John | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Arell Hennings | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Rogers Printup | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Colin Russell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter