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UC Davis Aggies 62
@
Pacific Tigers 58
2017-11-15

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 61.6% 38.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 64.6% 35.4% - ✓
Margin 47.8% 52.2% +0.5 ✗ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 56.1% 43.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 56.2% 43.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.0% 51.0% - ✗

Actual: Pacific Tigers -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chima Moneke * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 0 4 26 36 -
Siler Schneider * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 13 12 -
TJ Shorts * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 8 12 -
Michael Onyebalu * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 5 11 -
Garrison Goode * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -1 -
A.J. John 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 7 10 -
Joe Mooney 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 2 -
Arell Hennings 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 2 0 1 0 5 -
Delveion Jackson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Strom 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Roberto Gallinat * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 4 0 1 14 23 -
Jahlil Tripp * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 6 2 0 4 12 24 -
Kendall Small * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 4 1 3 4 12 -
Anthony Townes * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 2 2 6 11 -
Jack Williams * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 5 7 -
Namdi Okonkwo 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 5 11 -
Lafayette Dorsey 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 3 3 -

* = starter