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Towson

Also known as: Towson Tigers
Program History

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

50.0
PPG
57.0
Opp
-7.0
Margin
44.4%
FG%
27.8%
3P%
50.0%
FT%
29.0
RPG
5.0
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
51.1
Adj PPG
66.8
Adj Opp PPG
#338
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 554 (#339) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 606 (#344) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 826 (#341) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -16.2 (#336) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -13.1 (#326) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.026 (#345) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.0 More โ†’ 0.042 (#342) AdjNet -27.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.1 More โ†’ 0.040 (#342) AdjNet -27.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.1 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.193 (#338) AdjO 51.1 | AdjD 66.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.6 | AdjD 65.9 More โ†’ 0.264 (#336) AdjO 54.6 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.121 (#341) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.130 (#340) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 166 | GP 30 More โ†’ 593 (#343) RD 166 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 54 - 100
2011-11-14 @ Michigan Wolverines L 47 - 64
2011-11-19 @ Belmont Bruins L 41 - 87
2011-11-20 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 60 - 72
2011-11-26 vs Oregon State Beavers L 46 - 66
2011-11-30 @ UMass Minutemen L 56 - 86
2011-12-03 vs George Mason Patriots L 53 - 65
2011-12-07 vs La Salle Explorers L 51 - 89
2011-12-10 vs UMBC Retrievers L 58 - 62
2011-12-14 @ Coppin State Eagles L 57 - 71
2011-12-20 vs Manhattan Jaspers L 62 - 81
2011-12-23 vs Vermont Catamounts L 49 - 65
2011-12-30 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 50 - 57
2012-01-02 vs Northeastern Huskies L 48 - 57
2012-01-04 @ Drexel Dragons L 27 - 60
2012-01-07 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 38 - 75
2012-01-11 vs William & Mary Tribe L 49 - 66
2012-01-14 @ Georgia State Panthers L 42 - 57
2012-01-18 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 41 - 71
2012-01-23 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 43 - 62
2012-01-25 vs VCU Rams L 42 - 67
2012-01-28 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 66 - 61
2012-02-01 @ Hofstra Pride L 49 - 74
2012-02-04 vs Drexel Dragons L 57 - 65
2012-02-08 @ VCU Rams L 43 - 66
2012-02-14 @ Northeastern Huskies L 51 - 70
2012-02-18 @ New Hampshire Wildcats L 58 - 72
2012-02-22 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 69 - 76
2012-02-25 @ James Madison Dukes L 59 - 65
2012-03-02 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 65 - 72

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Robert Nwankwo Robert Nwankwo F 30 32.9 12.4 9.8 0.5 1.1 2.4 2.1 2.5 21.7 -257 20 -12.8 -16.8 49.3 0 45.6 -0.78 185.4 49.3
Marcus Damas Marcus Damas F 30 34.1 12.2 5.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 2.9 3.9 13.5 -270 20 -13.5 -17.4 33.9 27.1 78.1 -2.02 138.6 39.4
Deon Jones Deon Jones G 30 31.0 6.7 4.3 1.2 0.8 0.2 3.1 2.1 8.0 -258 20 -12.9 -18.5 32.8 33.3 75.0 -3.02 145.1 37.5
Kris Walden Kris Walden G 30 34.3 6.7 2.3 3.3 1.3 0.0 4.6 2.2 6.8 -252 20 -12.6 -16.0 25.4 19.2 85.7 0.96 143.4 29.1
Erique Gumbs Erique Gumbs F 30 22.2 5.5 4.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 2.1 1.8 7.8 -215 20 -10.8 -20.9 37.7 0.0 64.7 -3.66 135.6 37.7
Jervon Pressley Jervon Pressley F 29 17.3 3.7 3.0 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.8 1.7 4.1 -116 19 -6.1 -17.1 32.7 0 57.1 -0.84 101.8 32.7
Will Adams Will Adams F 25 12.8 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.8 0.5 2.5 -105 16 -6.6 -23.8 23.1 0.0 0 -3.62 176.9 23.1
Alex Giergen Alex Giergen F 25 11.1 1.3 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.6 1.7 -111 17 -6.5 -27.7 21.4 16.7 0.0 -5.41 114.3 28.6
Christian Collins Christian Collins - 13 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2 - - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 319.1 100.0
Deyon Cook Deyon Cook - 19 4.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 - - - - 60.0 60.0 100.0 - 137.9 90.0
Jamel Flash Jamel Flash F 28 5.6 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.3 -41 17 -2.4 -19.6 28.6 0 57.1 -1.66 69.4 28.6
Bryan Blackstone Bryan Blackstone - 14 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG