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2011-12-07

Model Predictions

Model La Salle Explorers Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 96.2% 3.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 93.8% 6.2% - โœ“
Margin 98.2% 1.8% -22.0 โœ“ (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 93.7% 6.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 96.8% 3.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 87.4% 12.6% - โœ“

Actual: Towson Tigers -38 (51-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

La Salle Explorers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ramon Galloway * 30 6-10 3-5 0-0 2 4 3 0 4 15 10 -
Sam Mills * 29 6-10 5-7 1-2 3 4 0 0 0 18 15 -
Tyreek Duren * 28 4-8 0-3 4-4 4 2 3 0 1 12 12 -
Earl Pettis * 24 6-9 3-4 0-0 2 3 3 0 0 15 14 -
Jerrell Wright * 20 4-9 0-0 3-5 8 1 1 1 2 11 11 -
D.J. Peterson 23 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
Taylor Dunn 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Devon White 12 2-3 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
Matt Lopez 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Steve Zack 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 0 4 -
Matt Sheehan 3 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Damas * 33 5-13 2-5 0-1 6 0 0 0 4 12 1 -
Jervon Pressley * 31 3-9 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 2 4 8 4 -
Deon Jones * 28 1-5 0-2 2-2 2 2 2 0 4 4 1 -
Robert Nwankwo * 26 5-8 0-0 2-4 7 0 1 1 0 12 13 -
Kris Walden * 26 1-6 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 2 2 -4 -
Will Adams 22 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
Erique Gumbs 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 1 4 5 -
Jamel Flash 9 0-4 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Deyon Cook 6 1-1 1-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Bryan Blackstone 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Christian Collins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter