Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.4% | 99.6% | +36.6 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +28.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams +23 (66-43). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deon Jones | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Robert Nwankwo | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Kris Walden | 34 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Damas | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Erique Gumbs | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jervon Pressley | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Will Adams | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Alex Giergen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jamel Flash | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bryan Blackstone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Christian Collins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford Burgess | 25 | 8-15 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| D.J. Haley | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Rob Brandenberg | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Treveon Graham | 21 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Briante Weber | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Darius Theus | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 16 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jarred Guest | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Juvonte Reddic | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Teddy Okereafor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| David Hinton | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Reco McCarter | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter