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Towson

Also known as: Towson Tigers
Program History

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

50.0
PPG
57.0
Opp
-7.0
Margin
44.4%
FG%
27.8%
3P%
50.0%
FT%
29.0
RPG
5.0
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
51.1
Adj PPG
66.8
Adj Opp PPG
#338
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 554 (#339) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 606 (#344) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 826 (#341) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -16.2 (#336) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -13.1 (#326) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.026 (#345) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -27.0 More โ†’ 0.042 (#342) AdjNet -27.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -27.1 More โ†’ 0.040 (#342) AdjNet -27.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 51.1 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.193 (#338) AdjO 51.1 | AdjD 66.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 54.6 | AdjD 65.9 More โ†’ 0.264 (#336) AdjO 54.6 | AdjD 65.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.121 (#341) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.130 (#340) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 166 | GP 30 More โ†’ 593 (#343) RD 166 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 54 - 100
2011-11-14 @ Michigan Wolverines L 47 - 64
2011-11-19 @ Belmont Bruins L 41 - 87
2011-11-20 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 60 - 72
2011-11-26 vs Oregon State Beavers L 46 - 66
2011-11-30 @ UMass Minutemen L 56 - 86
2011-12-03 vs George Mason Patriots L 53 - 65
2011-12-07 vs La Salle Explorers L 51 - 89
2011-12-10 vs UMBC Retrievers L 58 - 62
2011-12-14 @ Coppin State Eagles L 57 - 71
2011-12-20 vs Manhattan Jaspers L 62 - 81
2011-12-23 vs Vermont Catamounts L 49 - 65
2011-12-30 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 50 - 57
2012-01-02 vs Northeastern Huskies L 48 - 57
2012-01-04 @ Drexel Dragons L 27 - 60
2012-01-07 @ Old Dominion Monarchs L 38 - 75
2012-01-11 vs William & Mary Tribe L 49 - 66
2012-01-14 @ Georgia State Panthers L 42 - 57
2012-01-18 vs Old Dominion Monarchs L 41 - 71
2012-01-23 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 43 - 62
2012-01-25 vs VCU Rams L 42 - 67
2012-01-28 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 66 - 61
2012-02-01 @ Hofstra Pride L 49 - 74
2012-02-04 vs Drexel Dragons L 57 - 65
2012-02-08 @ VCU Rams L 43 - 66
2012-02-14 @ Northeastern Huskies L 51 - 70
2012-02-18 @ New Hampshire Wildcats L 58 - 72
2012-02-22 vs Delaware Blue Hens L 69 - 76
2012-02-25 @ James Madison Dukes L 59 - 65
2012-03-02 @ Delaware Blue Hens L 65 - 72

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Robert Nwankwo Robert Nwankwo F 30 32.9 12.4 9.8 0.5 1.1 2.4 2.1 2.5 21.7 -257 20 -12.8 -16.8 49.3 0 45.6 -0.78 185.4 49.3
Marcus Damas Marcus Damas F 30 34.1 12.2 5.2 1.5 0.9 0.4 2.9 3.9 13.5 -270 20 -13.5 -17.4 33.9 27.1 78.1 -2.03 138.6 39.4
Deon Jones Deon Jones G 30 31.0 6.7 4.3 1.2 0.8 0.2 3.1 2.1 8.0 -258 20 -12.9 -18.5 32.8 33.3 75.0 -3.01 145.1 37.5
Kris Walden Kris Walden G 30 34.3 6.7 2.3 3.3 1.3 0.0 4.6 2.2 6.8 -252 20 -12.6 -16.0 25.4 19.2 85.7 0.96 143.4 29.1
Erique Gumbs Erique Gumbs F 30 22.2 5.5 4.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 2.1 1.8 7.8 -215 20 -10.8 -20.9 37.7 0.0 64.7 -3.66 135.6 37.7
Jervon Pressley Jervon Pressley F 29 17.3 3.7 3.0 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.8 1.7 4.1 -116 19 -6.1 -17.1 32.7 0 57.1 -0.83 101.8 32.7
Will Adams Will Adams F 25 12.8 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.8 0.5 2.5 -105 16 -6.6 -23.8 23.1 0.0 0 -3.58 176.9 23.1
Alex Giergen Alex Giergen F 25 11.1 1.3 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.6 1.7 -111 17 -6.5 -27.7 21.4 16.7 0.0 -5.35 114.3 28.6
Christian Collins Christian Collins - 13 1.2 0.9 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2 - - - - 100.0 0 100.0 - 319.1 100.0
Deyon Cook Deyon Cook - 19 4.1 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 - - - - 60.0 60.0 100.0 - 137.9 90.0
Jamel Flash Jamel Flash F 28 5.6 0.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.3 -41 17 -2.4 -19.6 28.6 0 57.1 -1.61 69.4 28.6
Bryan Blackstone Bryan Blackstone - 14 1.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.3 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG