🐻⬇️🏀

Toledo

Also known as: Toledo
Program History

2025 Team Stats (10 games)

72.7
PPG
76.4
Opp
-0.3
Margin
44.0%
FG%
32.8%
3P%
70.2%
FT%
32.7
RPG
12.8
APG
10.0
TO
79.1
Pace

Model Outputs

2024-2025
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1022 (#159) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1001 (#177) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -4.5 (#234) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.385 (#245) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → 0.385 (#246) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.3 More → 0.303 (#242) AdjNet -7.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.4 More → 0.298 (#242) AdjNet -7.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 81.1 More → 0.390 (#237) AdjO 76.2 | AdjD 81.1

2025 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2024-11-13 vs Wright State Raiders W 86 - 77
2024-11-16 @ Detroit Mercy Titans W 82 - 67
2024-11-21 @ Stetson Hatters W 103 - 78
2024-11-22 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 82 - 80
2024-11-23 @ UC San Diego Tritons L 45 - 80
2024-11-30 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 52 - 85
2024-12-07 vs Defiance Yellow Jackets W 111 - 49
2024-12-14 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 87 - 93
2024-12-18 @ Houston Cougars L 49 - 78
2024-12-29 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 64 - 83
2025-01-04 @ Western Michigan Broncos W 76 - 70

2025 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
S. Wilson S. Wilson - 11 31.0 15.2 4.5 3.3 1.1 0.0 1.7 11.3 11.0 -43 -1.3 -2.2 53.2 40.0 59.5 0.06 58.6 57.3
S. Lewis S. Lewis - 11 28.1 13.7 6.1 1.0 0.5 0.4 1.3 11.1 9.4 -4 -0.1 -0.2 43.4 47.2 71.8 0.78 54.3 50.4
J. Simmons J. Simmons - 11 26.9 10.0 4.3 2.3 0.4 0.5 2.1 6.9 8.4 -21 -0.7 -1.2 56.6 0.0 60.0 0.54 58.8 56.6
S. Hubbard S. Hubbard - 11 23.6 9.4 3.5 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.7 8.2 7.1 -66 -3.0 -9.5 36.7 26.2 86.7 -0.05 49.9 42.8
I. Adams I. Adams - 11 28.0 8.7 3.2 3.2 1.2 0.8 1.6 9.8 5.6 -22 -0.7 -1.1 35.2 18.4 86.7 0.44 41.9 38.4
B. Ford B. Ford - 11 14.2 5.6 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 4.1 4.6 1 0.0 0.1 48.9 39.3 77.8 0.38 63.3 61.1
Andre Lorentsson Andre Lorentsson - 11 18.9 5.5 2.5 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.3 4.1 4.9 -30 -1.4 -7.3 42.2 37.5 78.6 -0.09 59.6 55.6
J. Ouwinga J. Ouwinga - 10 19.0 4.9 2.9 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.7 3.8 5.1 -20 -0.6 -2.1 55.3 50.0 45.5 -0.13 57.2 57.9
G. Brcic G. Brcic - 8 9.9 3.8 3.8 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.5 2.2 5.6 -15 -0.8 -7.0 66.7 0 40.0 -0.27 61.0 66.7
Jaylen Murphy Jaylen Murphy - 4 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.0 2 1.0 21.6 28.6 20.0 0 -1.37 35.7 35.7
T. Ode T. Ode - 6 6.7 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.2 29 4.8 22.7 16.7 16.7 0 -0.3 25.0 25.0
T. Cochran T. Cochran G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG